Pre-seismic anomalies in seismicity and crustal deformation: case studies of the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake of M6.9 and the 2007 Chuetsu-oki earthquake of M6.8 after the 2004 Chuetsu earthquake of M6.8

OGATA Yosihiko

Geophysical Journal International 186(Issue1) 331-348 Jul 2011

Bayesian forecasting of the recurrent earthquakes and its predictive performance for a small sample size(jointly authored)

OGATA Yosihiko

Journal of Geophysical Research 116(B04315) Apr 2011

Correction to "Precursory seismic anomalies and transient crustal deformation prior to the 2008 Mw = 6.9 Iwate-Miyagi Nairiku, Japan, earthquake"(jointly authored)

OGATA Yosihiko

Journal of Geophysical Research 117(Issue B5, B05313) Apr 2011

Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity

8th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (Statsei8) Aug 2013

History-dependent magnitude forecast by statistical discrimination of foreshocks(invited lecture)

SCEC/CSEP Workshop on Testing External Forecasts and Predictions May 2013

A prospect of earthquake prediction research(invited lecture)

The Second International CORSSA (the Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis) Workshop Jan 2013

Residual Analysis in Statistical Seismology and Discovering Seismicity Anomalies(invited lecture)

The 2nd Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting Jul 2012

Some Issues and Proposals for Operational Space-Time Forecasting and Their Evaluations(invited lecture)

SCEC CSEP Workshop: Final Evaluation of the Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) Experiment and the Future of Earthquake Forecasting Jun 2012

Delaunay-based Bayesian seismicity models: Introduction to a program package

Statistical modeling and real-time probability forecasting for earthquakes Mar 2012

Diagnosis of seismic anomalies and stress changes: Case studies from the recent earthquakes in and around Japan(invited lecture)

Workshop on Statistical and Physical Modelling of Earthquake Processes, GNS Science Oct 2011

The M9 Tohoku-Oki earthquake and statistical seismology(invited lecture)

Seminar series in honour of David Vere-Jones Oct 2011

Seismic and geodetic anomalies preceding the rupture around the focal region: Applications of the ETAS model (invited lecture)

Asia Oceania Geosciences Society(AOGS) 8th Annual Meeting Aug 2011

Anomalous seismic activities before and after the M9 Tohoku-oki Earthquake (invited lecture)

7th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology May 2011

Modeling of temporal and spatial nonhomogeneity for space - time processes. (IL-SONG lecture)

The Spring Korean Statistical Society Annual Meeting 2010

Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity. (invited lecture)

“Earthquake Hazards in Urban Areas” and “Toward Constructing Forecast Systems of Earthquakes” -The 3rd SCEC-ERI joint workshop- 2010

Global earthquake catalogs and long-range correlation of seismic activity. (invited lecture)

2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union 2009

Modeling for immediate aftershock probability forecasting. (invited lecture)

The 1st Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting 2009

Location Dependent Space-Time Models for Wide Regional and Global Seismicity. (invited lecture)

The 6th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology 2009

Anomalies in seismic activity and transient crustal deformation. (invited lecture)

ESF-FWF Conference of New Challenges In Earthquake Dynamics: Observing And Modelling A Multi-Scale System 2008

Space-time ETAS Model. (invited lecture)

CSEP Global Collaboration & Testing Meeting 2008

Seismicity anomaly and crustal deformation anomaly. (invited lecture)

Evison Symposium on Seismogenesis and Earthquake Forecasting 2008

Standard point-process models for prediction and diagnosis of earthquake activity/ (invited lecture)

Workshop on Data-driven and Physically-based Models for Characterization of Processes in Hydrology, Hydraulics, Oceanography and Climate Change 2008

Modeling of heterogeneous datasets. (invited lecture)

Workshop on Data-driven and Physically-based Models for Characterization of Processes in Hydrology, Hydraulics, Oceanography and Climate Change 2008

Diagnostic Statistical Analyses to Detect the Seismicity and Geodetic Anomalies Relative to the Normal Predictions. (tutorial talk)

The 5th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology 2007

Introduction of Short-term prediction experiments. (invited lecture)

Workshop on Earthquake Predictability and Time-dependent Forecasting 2007

Seismicity anomaly from the predicted rate by the ETAS model. (invited lecture)

Southern California Earthquake Center and Earthquake research Institute Joint Workshop on Earthquakes in Urban Areas 2006

Monitoring of anomaly in the aftershock sequence of the 2005 earthquake of M7.0 at the western Fukuoka, Japan, by the ETAS model. (invited lecture)

2006 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursor 2006

Contributions of Professor Tokuji Utsu to statistical seismology and recent developments. (invited lecture)

The 4th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology 2006

Seismicity anomalies measured by the ETAS model and stress changes (solicited). (invited lecture)

The General Assembly 2005 of the European Geosciences Union (EGU) 2005

Synchronous seismicity changes in and around the northern Japan preceding the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake of M8.0. (invited lecture)

International Conference in Commemoration of 5-th Anniversary of the 1999 Chi-Chi Earthquake, Taiwan 2004

Space-time model for regional seismicity and detection of crustal stress changes. (invited lecture)

The 6th World Congress of the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability, and 67th Annual Meeting of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics 2004

Diagnostic analyses of space-time branching processes for earthquakes. (invited lecture)

International Conference on Spatial Point Process Modelling and its Applications (SPPA) 2004

Visualizing goodness-of-fit of point-process models for earthquake clusters. (invited lecture)

Analysis of Natural and Social Phenomena: Data Science and System Reduction; an international workshop of the 21st Century COE Program at Keio University 2004

Stress changes, seismicity changes and statistical models. (invited presentation)

Workshop on Seismic Activity and Probabilities of Major Earthquakes in the Kanto and Tokai Area, Japan 2004

Space-Time Model of Regional Seismicity for Revealing Temporal Anomalies. (invited lecture)

International Symposium, Science of Modeling; The 30th Anniversary of the Information Criterion(AIC) 2003

Modeling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrence. (invited lecture)

Point processes--theory and applications 2003

Sesimicity-change-analysis by a space-time point-process model. (invited presentation)

Third International Workshop on Statistical Seismology 2003

A practival space-time model for regional seismicity. (solicited presentation)

Session on "Scaling, cascades and self-organized criticality in Earthquakes: Damage mechanics and Predictabulity, 2003, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly 2003

Modelling of heterogeneous space-time earthquake occurrences and Its residual analysis. (invited lecture)

Workshop on Statistical Seismology 2002

Which models seem most promising? (tutorial lecture, and a learder of a FORUM)

IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics 2002

Analysis of seismic activity through point-process modeling. (tutorial lecture, and a learder of a FORUM)

IMA Workshop: Point Process Modeling and Seismological Applications of Statistics 2002

Space-time analysis of earthquake catalog. (invited lecture)

Meeting on Stochastic Geometry, Spatial Statistics and Statistical Physics 2002

Annealing MCMC integration with application to likelihood computation of Bayesian models. (invited lecture)

International Symposium on New Trends in Optimization and Computational Algorithms (NTOC2001) 2001

Space-time modeling of seismicity. (invited lecture)

Session on Statistics for Spatial and Spatial-Temporal Processes, the 53rd Session of the International Statistical Institute 2001

Modelig of clustered space-time point ptocesses in seismology. (invited lecture)

Session on Spatial Statistics at the 2001 Annual Meeting of Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS) 2001

Practical etreme value analyses for seismicity. (invited lecture)

International Symposium on Extrem Value Analysis: Theory and Practice 2001

Modeling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis. (invited lecture)

Japan-U.S. Seminar on Statistical Time Series Analysis 2001

Modelling of spatio-temporal seismic activity and its residual analysis. (invited lecture)

Symposium in honor of David Vere-Jones 2001

Space-time modeling of earthquake occurrences. (invited lecture)

Meeting on Stochastic in the Sciences 2001

Some statistical features of foreshocks. (invited lecture)

Japan-US Workshop on Foreshocks and Fracture 2000

Spatially heterogeneous space-time modeling for seismic activity and space-time residual analysis for point processes. (invited lecture)

Research Symposium: Analysis of Spatio-Temporal Data 2000

Evaluation of high dimensional Bayesian models: Two computational method. (invited lecture)

Workshop on Information-Based Induction Science 2000

Preseismic anomalies in seismicity and crustal deformation: Case studies of the 2007 Noto Peninsula Earthquake of M6.9 and the 2007 Chuetsu-Oki Earthquake of M6.8, Research Memorandum ISM, 1109, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics

2009

Identification and estimation of superposed Neyman-Scott spatial cluster processes (jointly authored), Research Memorandum ISM, 1106, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics

2009

Seismicity shadows in space-time aftershock activity, Research Memorandum ISM, 1073, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics

2008

Age-period-cohort analysis of incidence from incompletely detected retrospective data (jointly authored), Research Memorandum ISM, 723, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics