João G. S. Fonseca Jr.

Profile Information

Other name(s) (e.g. nickname): João Fonseca
ORCID ID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4974-6634
J-GLOBAL ID: 201001058475096050
Researcher ID: B-4661-2018
researchmap Member ID: 6000022456

External link: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4974-6634

Research Interests

Research Areas

Major Papers

Enhancements in Day-Ahead Forecasts of Solar Irradiation with Machine Learning: A Novel Analysis with the Japanese Mesoscale Model

Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca, Fumichika Uno, Hideaki Ohtake, Takashi Oozeki, Kazuhiko Ogimoto

Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 59(5) 1011-1028, May, 2020 Peer-reviewedLead author
Prediction intervals for day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasts with non-parametric and parametric distributions

Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca, Hideaki Ohtake, Takashi Oozeki, Kazuhiko Ogimoto

Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology, 13(4) 1504-1514, Jul 1, 2018 Peer-reviewedLead author
Regional photovoltaic power fluctuations within frequency regulation control time frames: A study with high-resolution data

Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior, Yuki Nishitsuji, Yusuke Udagawa, Chiyori T. Urabe, Tetsuo Saito, Fumichika Uno, Hideaki Ohtake, Takashi Oozeki, Kazuhiko Ogimoto

Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications, 26(6) 402-413, Jun, 2018 Peer-reviewedLead author
Regional forecasts of photovoltaic power generation according to different data availability scenarios: a study of four methods

Fonseca Joao, Gari da Silva Jr, Oozeki Takashi, Ohtake Hideaki, Takashima Takumi, Ogimoto Kazuhiko

Progress in Photovoltaics, 23(10) 1203-1218, 2015 Peer-reviewedLead author
Regional forecasts and smoothing effect of photovoltaic power generation in Japan: An approach with principal component analysis

Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior, Takashi Oozeki, Hideaki Ohtake, Ken-ichi Shimose, Takumi Takashima, Kazuhiko Ogimoto

RENEWABLE ENERGY, 68 403-413, Aug, 2014 Peer-reviewedLead author
Use of support vector regression and numerically predicted cloudiness to forecast power output of a photovoltaic power plant in Kitakyushu, Japan

Joao Gari Da Silva Fonseca, Takashi Oozeki, Takumi Takashima, Gentarou Koshimizu, Yoshihisa Uchida, Kazuhiko Ogimoto

Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications, 20(7) 874-882, Nov, 2012 Peer-reviewedLead author
Effect of exergy optimisation on a cogeneration system's CO2 emissions according to different demand patterns

Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca Jr., Hitoshi Asano, Terushige Fujii, Shigeki Hirasawa

International Journal of Exergy, 5(3) 296-308, May, 2008 Peer-reviewedLead author
Simulation of a thermal power plant with district heating: Comparative results of 5 different codes

J FONSECAJR, P SCHNEIDER

Energy, 31(12) 1955-1968, 2006 Peer-reviewedLead author

Misc.

太陽光発電の発電予測・把握技術におけるアップスケーリングの誤差解析

海崎光宏, 宇野史睦, 大関崇, 西辻裕紀, 西辻裕紀, 宇田川佑介, 宇田川佑介, DA SILVA, FONSECA JUNIOR, Joao Gari …

電気学会電力・エネルギー部門大会論文集(CD-ROM), 2018 ROMBUNNO.111, Aug 31, 2018
太陽光発電の発電予測・把握技術における利用するデータ数による分析結果の影響評価

大関崇, 海崎光宏, 宇野史睦, 西辻裕紀, 西辻裕紀, 宇田川佑介, 宇田川佑介, DA SILVA, FONSECA JUNIOR, Joao Gari …

電気学会電力・エネルギー部門大会論文集(CD-ROM), 2018 ROMBUNNO.110, Aug 31, 2018
太陽光発電出力短時間予測を考慮した高頻度発電機起動停止計画

宇田川佑介, 宇田川佑介, 西辻裕紀, 西辻裕紀, 荻本和彦, DA SILVA, FONSECA JUNIOR, Joao Gari, 海崎光宏, 大関崇 …

電気学会電力・エネルギー部門大会論文集(CD-ROM), 2018 ROMBUNNO.262, Aug 31, 2018
Improvement and Effect of Unit Commitment Using PV Yield Forecast on the Morning of Operation Day

2017(89) 133-138, Sep 21, 2017
Evaluation of Supply-Demand Operation Using Photovoltaic Generation Forecast in Power System with Extremely Large Integration of Photovoltaic Generation

2016(67) 39-42, Sep 20, 2016
Basic Study on Control Method of Battery Energy Storage System for Demand and Supply Operation based on Photovoltaic Generation Forecast

2015(25) 65-69, Sep 16, 2015
Evaluation of Battery Charge/discharge Schedule based on Interval Analysis by Power System Simulation

2015(62) 19-23, Feb 19, 2015
Case studies concerning dramatic forecast errors of global horizontal irradiance obtained from JMA operational weather forecast models

2015(1) 45-50, Jan 15, 2015
Regional forecast of PV system output using meteorological data in the learning method

大関崇, G. S. Fonseca, Jr. Joao, 大竹秀明

電気学会研究会資料. MES, 2015(1) 51-53, Jan 15, 2015
C371 Day-Ahead Regional Power Generation Forecasting: On the Effect of Large Errors in a Scenario of Curtailment of Photovoltaic Power :

Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior Joao, Udagawa Yusuke, Ohtake Hideaki, Oozeki Takashi, Ogimoto Kazuhiko

108 542-542, 2015
C353 太陽光発電が大量導入された電力系統における需給運用に日射量予測値が与える影響(気象予測・観測技術の再生可能エネルギー分野への応用,スペシャル・セッション)

宇田川佑介, 荻本和彦, Gari da Silva, Fonseca Jr Joao, 大竹秀明, 大関崇, 池上貴志, 福留潔

大会講演予講集, 108, 2015
Evaluation of Residential PV-EV System for Supply and Demand Balance of Power System

Aachiq Mustapha, Junior Joao, Gari da, Silva Fonseca, Oozeki Takashi, Iwafune Yumiko

IEEJ Transactions on Power and Energy, 135(1) 27-34, 2015
C370 関西電力エリアを対象とした日射量予測の大外れ事例の解析(気象予測・観測技術の再生可能エネルギー分野への応用,スペシャル・セッション)

大竹秀明, 宇野史睦, 高島工, 大関崇, Gari da Silva, Fonseca Jr Joao, 山田芳則

大会講演予講集, 108, 2015
Evaluation of Hot Reserve in Power System Operation using Photovoltaic Generation Forecast

2014(53) 37-42, Sep 24, 2014
Solar Irradiance Forecasts obtained from a Local Forecast Model and its Verification of Forecast Accuracy

33 141-144, Jun 10, 2014
気象庁メソモデルによる日射量予測値の均し効果による信頼区間の低減効果

大竹秀明, 下瀬健一, DA SILVA FONSECA Joao G., Jr, 高島工, 大関崇, 山田芳則

エネルギーシステム・経済・環境コンファレンス講演論文集(CD-ROM), 30th, 2014
Model Predictive Control Based Generation Planning using PV Interval Prediction

Tagawa Yoshihiro, Koike Masakazu, Ishizaki Takayuki, Ramdani Nacim, Oozeki Takashi, Fonseca Junior, Joao Gari, da Silva, Masuta Taisuke, Imura Jun-ichi

Proceedings of the Japan Joint Automatic Control Conference, 57 943-949, 2014
Evaluation of Forecast Errors of the Global Solar Irradiance Obtained from the Japan Meteorological Agency Global Spectral Model

Ohtake Hideaki, Shimose Ken-ichi, Junior Joao, Gari da, Silva Fonseca, Takashima Takumi, Oozeki Takashi, Yamada Yoshinori

IEEJ Transactions on Power and Energy, 134(6) 501-509, 2014
Analysis of Error Causes of the Irradiation Forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency Meso-Scale Model

Shimose Ken-ichi, Ohtake Hideaki, Junior Joao, Gari da, Silva Fonseca, Takashima Takumi, Oozeki Takashi, Yamada Yoshinori

IEEJ Transactions on Power and Energy, 134(6) 518-526, 2014
Evaluation of Outage and Surplus Power due to Forecast Error of Photovoltaic Generation Output

Masuta Taisuke, Oozeki Takashi, Junior Joao, Gari da, Silva Fonseca, Murata Akinobu

IEEJ Transactions on Power and Energy, 134(4) 286-295, 2014

Books and Other Publications

Machine Learning Applications on Integration of Renewable Energy to Power Systems

(Role: Joint author)

Jun, 2022
連載スマートグリッドへの利用に向けた最新の日射量・太陽光発電電力量の予測技術 (第3回)

ジョンガリ, ダ, シルバフォンセカジュニア, 宇野史睦 (Role: Joint author, スマートグリッドへの利用に向けた最新の日射量・太陽光発電電力量の予測技術 (第3回))

大河出版, Jul, 2020
連載：スマートグリッドへの利用に向けた最新の日射量・太陽光発電電力量の予測技術(第2回)

ジョンガリ, ダ, シルバフォンセカジュニア, 宇野史睦 (Role: Joint author, スマートグリッドへの利用に向けた最新の日射量・太陽光発電電力量の予測技術(第2回))

大河出版, Apr, 2020
次世代電力システム設計論 : 再生可能エネルギーを活かす予測と制御の調和

(Role: Joint author, 2章2.2節予測区間、予測区間（予測の信頼度情報）の)

オーム社, Nov, 2019 (ISBN: 9784274507533)

Presentations

A Comparison of Two Methods to Forecast Residual Demand One Day Ahead of Time

João Gari, da Silva, Fonseca Júnior

Solar World Congress 2021, Oct 26, 2021, ISES
Initial Results on Forecasting Residual Power Demand with Gradient Boosting Trees

da Silva, Fonseca Junior, Joao Gari

The 2020 Annual Conference of Power & Energy Society IEE of Japan, Sep 11, 2020
Characteristics of Day-Ahead Residual Demand, PV Power and Demand Forecasts in a Scenario of Large Penetration of PV

J. Gari, da, Silva, Fonseca Jr, Y. Udagawa, T. Oozeki, K. Ogimoto

37th European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition, Sep, 2020
Characterizing Day-ahead Forecast Errors of PV Power in Hokkaido: An Assessment with 2 Years of Data

Fonseca Jr, J. G. S

Annual Conference of Power & Energy Society IEE of Japan, Mar 14, 2019, IEE of Japan
On the Improvement of Day-ahead Forecasts of Solar Irradiation with Simple Ensembles and Training Data Selection in Japan: A Countrywide Assessment

Fonseca Jr, J. G. S

8th International Workshop on Integration of Solar Power into Power Systems, 2018, Oct, 2018, Energynautics GmbH
Improving Regional PV Power Curtailment with Better Day-ahead PV Forecasts: An Evaluation of 3 Forecasts

Joao Gari, da Silva, Fonseca Junior, Yuki Nishitsuji, Yusuke Udagawa, Takashi Oozeki, Kazuhiko Ogimoto

2018 IEEE 7th World Conference on Photovoltaic Energy Conversion (WCPEC) (A Joint Conference of 45th IEEE PVSC, 28th PVSEC & 34th EU PVSEC), Jun, 2018, IEEE
Evaluation of the Interannual Accuracy of Day-ahead Forecasts of Solar Irradiation for Kyushu in Japan

Joao Gari, da Silva, Fonseca Junior

Grand Renewable Energy 2018, Jun, 2018
Photovoltaic Power Curtailment with Forecasting and Unit Commitment Scheduling: A Study on the Kanto Region in Japan

Fonseca Jr, J. G. S

Solar World Congress 2017, Oct 30, 2017
海外予測技術概要について

Fonseca Jr, J. G. S

21st Photovoltaic Power Generation Seminar, Aug 28, 2017 Invited
Intra-Day Forecasts of PV Power with Numerical Weather Prediction Data and Machine Learning in Kyushu, Japan

{Fonseca Jr., J.G.S.}, Uno, F., Oozeki, T., Ogimoto, K.

33rd European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition; 2475-2479, 2017, WIP
Comparison of 3 Distributions to Characterize Prediction Intervals for Photovoltaic Power Forecasts ? A Study with 432 PV Systems

Joao Gari, da Silva, Fonseca Junior, Hideaki Ootake, Takashi Oozeki, Kazuhiko Ogimoto

International Conference on Electrical Engineering, Jul, 2016
Evaluating the Effect of the Forecast Horizon in the Error of Regional Forecasts of Insolation in Japan: the Kanto Region Case

J.G.S. Gari, da, Silva, Fonseca Jr, T. Oozeki, H. Ohtake, K. Ogimoto

31st European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and ExhibitionProceedings of, Sep, 2015
On Methods to Forecast PV Power Generation in Regional Scale

Fonseca Jr, J. G. S

10th Seminar on Photovoltaic Power Generation-PV System's Power Characterization and Forecast Techniques, 2015 Invited
C371 Day-Ahead Regional Power Generation Forecasting: On the Effect of Large Errors in a Scenario of Curtailment of Photovoltaic Power :

Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior Joao, Udagawa Yusuke, Ohtake Hideaki, Oozeki Takashi, Ogimoto Kazuhiko

2015
Effect of day-ahead forecasts on curtailment planning of PV power in Japan

Joao Gari Da Silva Fonseca, Yusuke Udagawa, Tetsuo Saito, Takashi Oozeki, Kazuhiko Ogimoto

ISES Solar World Congress 2015, Conference Proceedings, 2015, International Solar Energy Society
Characterization of the Accuracy of Forecast of Photovoltaic Power in Japan

Fonseca Jr, J. G. S

Challenges in Smart Grid Modeling and Simulation Technologies, 2014 Invited
On the Use of Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Data Similarity to Obtain Prediction Intervals for Forecasts of Photovoltaic Power Generation

Fonseca Jr, J. G. S

International Conference on Electrical Engineering 2014, 2014
Development of a Method to Provide Prediction Intervals for Forecasts of Power Generation of Photovoltaic Systems

Fonseca Jr, J. G. S

Grand Renewable Energy 2014 International Conference and Exhibition, 2014
Preliminary Study on Prediction Intervals for Regional Forecasts of Photovoltaic Power Generation in Japan

Fonseca Jr, J. G. S

World Renewable Energy Congress XIII, 2014
A Preliminary Study on One-Hour-Ahead Forecasts of Insolation in Japan

J.G.S. Gari da Silva, Fonseca Jr, T. Oozeki, H. Ohtake, T. Takashima, K. Ogimoto

Proceedings of 29th European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition, 2014

Research Projects

太陽光発電システム上の積雪動態の解明と予測への展開

科学研究費助成事業基盤研究(B), 基盤研究(B), 日本学術振興会, Apr, 2021 - Mar, 2024

大竹秀明, 大関崇, フォンセカジョアン, 神山徹, 今井正尭, 山口順之, 小野耕介, 庭野匡思
日射量予測と太陽光発電の予測

Profile Information

Research Interests

Research Areas

Major Papers

Misc.

Books and Other Publications

Presentations

Research Projects

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