論文

査読有り
2019年10月

Strategic Ambiguity with Probabilistic Voting

Journal of Theoretical Politics
  • 浅古泰史

31
4
開始ページ
626
終了ページ
641
記述言語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1177/0951629819875516

Political parties and candidates usually prefer making ambiguous promises. This study identifies the conditions under which candidates choose ambiguous promises in equilibrium, given convex utility functions of voters. The results show that in a deterministic model, no equilibrium exists when voters have convex utility functions. However, in a probabilistic voting model, candidates make ambiguous promises in equilibrium when (i) voters have convex utility functions, and (ii) the distribution of voters’ most preferred policies is polarized.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/0951629819875516

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