Papers

Peer-reviewed Last author International journal
May, 2016

Thyroid Cancer Detection by Ultrasound Among Residents Ages 18 Years and Younger in Fukushima, Japan

Epidemiology
  • Toshihide Tsuda
  • ,
  • Akiko Tokinobu
  • ,
  • Eiji Yamamoto
  • ,
  • Etsuji Suzuki

Volume
27
Number
3
First page
316
Last page
322
Language
English
Publishing type
Research paper (scientific journal)
DOI
10.1097/ede.0000000000000385
Publisher
Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)

Background: After the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami in March 2011, radioactive elements were released from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant. Based on prior knowledge, concern emerged about whether an increased incidence of thyroid cancer among exposed residents would occur as a result.Methods: After the release, Fukushima Prefecture performed ultrasound thyroid screening on all residents ages 18 years. The first round of screening included 298,577 examinees, and a second round began in April 2014. We analyzed the prefecture results from the first and second round up to December 31, 2014, in comparison with the Japanese annual incidence and the incidence within a reference area in Fukushima Prefecture.Results: The highest incidence rate ratio, using a latency period of 4 years, was observed in the central middle district of the prefecture compared with the Japanese annual incidence (incidence rate ratio = 50; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 25, 90). The prevalence of thyroid cancer was 605 per million examinees (95% CI = 302, 1,082) and the prevalence odds ratio compared with the reference district in Fukushima Prefecture was 2.6 (95% CI = 0.99, 7.0). In the second screening round, even under the assumption that the rest of examinees were disease free, an incidence rate ratio of 12 has already been observed (95% CI = 5.1, 23).Conclusions: An excess of thyroid cancer has been detected by ultrasound among children and adolescents in Fukushima Prefecture within 4 years of the release, and is unlikely to be explained by a screening surge.

Link information
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1097/ede.0000000000000385
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000374777300018&DestApp=WOS_CPL
URL
https://journals.lww.com/10.1097/EDE.0000000000000385
ID information
  • DOI : 10.1097/ede.0000000000000385
  • ISSN : 1044-3983
  • eISSN : 1531-5487
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000374777300018

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