論文

査読有り 筆頭著者 責任著者 本文へのリンクあり 国際誌
2023年8月

Exchangeability of measures of association before and after exposure status is flipped: its relationship with confounding in the counterfactual model

Journal of Epidemiology
  • Etsuji Suzuki
  • ,
  • Michio Yamamoto
  • ,
  • Eiji Yamamoto

33
8
開始ページ
385
終了ページ
389
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.2188/jea.JE20210352
出版者・発行元
Japan Epidemiological Association

BACKGROUND: The counterfactual definition of confounding is often explained in the context of exchangeability between the exposed and unexposed groups. One recent approach is to examine whether the measures of association (e.g., associational risk difference) are exchangeable when exposure status is flipped in the population of interest. We discuss the meaning and utility of this approach, showing their relationships with the concept of confounding in the counterfactual framework. METHODS: Three hypothetical cohort studies are used, in which the target population is the total population. After providing an overview of the notions of confounding in distribution and in measure, we discuss the approach from the perspective of exchangeability of measures of association (e.g., factual associational risk difference vs. counterfactual associational risk difference). RESULTS: In general, if the measures of association are non-exchangeable when exposure status is flipped, confounding in distribution is always present, although confounding in measure may or may not be present. Even if the measures of association are exchangeable when exposure status is flipped, there could be confounding both in distribution and in measure. When we use risk difference or risk ratio as a measure of interest and the exposure prevalence in the population is 0.5, testing the exchangeability of measures of association is equivalent to testing the absence of confounding in the corresponding measures. CONCLUSIONS: The approach based on exchangeability of measures of association essentially does not provide a definition of confounding in the counterfactual framework. Subtly differing notions of confounding should be distinguished carefully.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2188/jea.JE20210352 本文へのリンクあり
PubMed
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35067497
URL
https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/jea/advpub/0/advpub_JE20210352/_article/-char/ja/ 本文へのリンクあり
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.2188/jea.JE20210352
  • PubMed ID : 35067497

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