論文

査読有り
2018年10月1日

Comparison of GIS-based landslide susceptibility models using frequency ratio, logistic regression, and artificial neural network in a tertiary region of Ambon, Indonesia

Geomorphology
  • Aril Aditian
  • ,
  • Tetsuya Kubota
  • ,
  • Yoshinori Shinohara

318
開始ページ
101
終了ページ
111
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1016/j.geomorph.2018.06.006
出版者・発行元
Elsevier B.V.

This study aims to evaluate landslide causative factors in landslide susceptibility assessments and to compare landslide susceptibility models based on the bivariate frequency ratio (FR), multivariate logistic regression (LR), and artificial neural network (ANN). The majority of landslide occurrences in Ambon, Indonesia is induced by heavy rainfall events where slope failures occur mostly on steep slopes thereby endangering municipality areas at the base of the hills. Eight landslide causative factors were considered in the landslide susceptibility assessments. The causative factors were elevation, slope angle, slope aspect, proximity to stream network, lithology, density of geological boundaries, proximity to faults, and proximity to the road network. The output susceptibility maps were reclassified into five classes ranging from very low to very high susceptibility using Jenks natural breaks method. Twenty percent of all mapped landslides were used as the validation of the susceptibility models. The validity and the accuracy of each model were tested by calculating areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs), and the areas under the curve (AUC) for the success rate curves of FR, LR, and ANN were 0.688, 0.687, and 0.734, respectively. The AUC for the prediction rate curve of FR, LR, and ANN were 0.668, 0.667, and 0.717, respectively. All findings of the models show good results with the accuracy of all models being higher than 66%. The ANN method proved to be superior in explaining the relationship of landslide with each factor studied.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2018.06.006
URL
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85048796624&origin=inward
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1016/j.geomorph.2018.06.006
  • ISSN : 0169-555X
  • SCOPUS ID : 85048796624

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