論文

査読有り 国際誌
2021年3月31日

Trends in the incidence and mortality of legionellosis in Japan: a nationwide observational study, 1999-2017.

Scientific reports
  • Shinnosuke Fukushima
  • ,
  • Hideharu Hagiya
  • ,
  • Yuki Otsuka
  • ,
  • Toshihiro Koyama
  • ,
  • Fumio Otsuka

11
1
開始ページ
7246
終了ページ
7246
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1038/s41598-021-86431-8

This study examined temporal trend, seasonality, and geographical variations of legionellosis incidence and mortality in Japan. This nationwide observational study used the Japanese Vital Statistics and Infectious Diseases Weekly Report (1999-2017) data to calculate legionellosis crude and age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates per 100,000 population by age and sex. Incidence was compared among the 4 seasons and regional incidence among 47 prefectures. Of 13,613 (11,194 men) people with legionellosis in Japan, 725 (569 men) were fatal. Increasing incidence trend occurred from 0.0004 (1999) to 1.37 (2017) per 100,000 population. People aged ≥ 70 years accounted for 43.1% overall; men's age-adjusted incidence rate was consistently approximately five times higher than for women. Significantly higher incidence occurred in summer than in winter (p = 0.013). Geographically, highest incidence (≥ 2.0 per 100,000 population) occurred in Hokuriku District, with increasing trends in Hokkaido and middle-part of Japan. Estimated fatality rates decreased consistently at 5.9% (95% confidence interval: - 8.1, - 3.5) annually, from 1999 to 2017, with no trend change point. Increasing legionellosis incidence occurred in Japan during 1999-2017, with declining estimated fatality rates. In this aging society and warming world, disease clinical burden may further deteriorate in future due to increasing incidence trends.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-86431-8
PubMed
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33790327
PubMed Central
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8012643
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1038/s41598-021-86431-8
  • PubMed ID : 33790327
  • PubMed Central 記事ID : PMC8012643

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