論文

査読有り
2019年8月15日

Future wind and wave climate projections in the Indian Ocean based on a super-high-resolution MRI-AGCM3.2S model projection

Climate Dynamics
  • Bahareh Kamranzad
  • ,
  • Nobuhito Mori

53
3-4
開始ページ
2391
終了ページ
2410
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1007/s00382-019-04861-7

In this study, the impact of climate change on wind and wave characteristics has been assessed using super-high-resolution MRI-AGCM3.2S wind data and numerical modeling over the Indian Ocean. Wave characteristics were generated in two 25-year periods covering historical and future projections (RCP8.5), and the assessment indicated that, generally, the spatial distributions of wind speed, significant wave height (H ) and mean spectral wave period (T ) will not dramatically change in the future. The assessment also indicated that the wind direction reversing pattern during monsoons will remain similar. Moreover, future westerly winds in the Southern Indian Ocean (SIO) will shift to the south and a decrease in future wind speed north of the equator will occur, espearound the equator due to cially during winter. The relative change of H will be less than wind speed the predominance of swells transferring from the SIO. There will be no considerable change in the future T , except during autumn in the area north of the equator. A novel climate stability index is suggested showing that the semi-enclosed seas in the NIO and the western coasts of India and the Maldives will be areas with the least stability in terms of wave climate. Despite experiencing more intense wind and wave climates, the overall climate will be more stable in the SIO than the NIO. s m01 s m01

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04861-7
Scopus
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85068132462&origin=inward
Scopus Citedby
https://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85068132462&origin=inward
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1007/s00382-019-04861-7
  • ISSN : 0930-7575
  • eISSN : 1432-0894
  • SCOPUS ID : 85068132462

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