論文

査読有り
2016年9月

Correlation analysis for preseismic total electron content anomalies around the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS
  • Takuya Iwata
  • ,
  • Ken Umeno

121
9
開始ページ
8969
終了ページ
8984
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1002/2016JA023036
出版者・発行元
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION

We can observe the changes of Total Electron Content, TEC, in ionosphere by analyzing the data from Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) satellites. Up to now, preseismic TEC anomalies have been reported in several papers. However, they are not so clear as coseismic TEC anomalies, and their analysis methods have some problems for practical earthquake prediction. One factor making it difficult to detect TEC anomalies is large noises in TEC data. Nonnegligible TEC disturbances are caused by many natural mechanisms. To overcome this difficulty, we propose correlation analyses between one GNSS station and GNSS stations surrounding it. First, we model TEC time series over a few hours using polynomial functions of time. Second, we calculate prediction errors as the departure of the TEC time series from the models over time scale of a few minutes and define it as the TEC anomaly. Third, we calculate the correlation between anomaly of one GNSS station and those at the surrounding stations. Although such a correlation method has long been used for radio communications, in particular for spread spectrum communications and very long baseline interferometry to increase signal-to-noise ratio, it has not been widely applied for TEC analysis. As a result of our method, we demonstrate that the correlation analysis can detect preseismic anomalies about 1h before the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake on 11 March (M(w)9.0), 20min before the foreshock on 9 March and 40min before the aftershock on 7 April (M(w)7.3).

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA023036
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000385844000052&DestApp=WOS_CPL
URL
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JA023036/abstract
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1002/2016JA023036
  • ISSN : 2169-9380
  • eISSN : 2169-9402
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000385844000052

エクスポート
BibTeX RIS