論文

査読有り 本文へのリンクあり
2021年6月

Influence of population density, temperature, and absolute humidity on spread and decay durations of COVID-19: A comparative study of scenarios in China, England, Germany, and Japan

One Health
  • Yinliang Diao
  • ,
  • Sachiko Kodera
  • ,
  • Daisuke Anzai
  • ,
  • Jose Gomez-Tames
  • ,
  • Essam A. Rashed
  • ,
  • Akimasa Hirata

12
開始ページ
100203
終了ページ
100203
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1016/j.onehlt.2020.100203
出版者・発行元
Elsevier BV

In this study, we analyzed the spread and decay durations of the COVID-19 pandemic in several cities of China, England, Germany, and Japan, where the first wave has undergone decay. Differences in medical and health insurance systems, as well as in regional policies incommoded the comparison of the spread and decay in different cities and countries. The spread and decay durations in the cities of the four studied countries were reordered and calculated based on an asymmetric bell-shaped model. We acquired the values of the ambient temperature, absolute humidity, and population density to perform multivariable analysis. We found a significant correlation (p < 0.05) of the spread and decay durations with population density in the four analyzed countries. Specifically, spread duration showed a high correlation with population density and absolute humidity (p < 0.05), whereas decay duration demonstrated the highest correlation with population density, absolute humidity, and maximum temperature (p < 0.05). The effect of population density was almost nonexistent in China because of the implemented strict lockdown. Our findings will be useful in policy setting and governmental actions in the next pandemic, as well as in the next waves of COVID-19.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.onehlt.2020.100203
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000647609500005&DestApp=WOS_CPL
Scopus
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85097772095&origin=inward 本文へのリンクあり
Scopus Citedby
https://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85097772095&origin=inward
URL
https://publons.com/publon/36755029/
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1016/j.onehlt.2020.100203
  • ISSN : 2352-7714
  • eISSN : 2352-7714
  • ORCIDのPut Code : 99128987
  • SCOPUS ID : 85097772095
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000647609500005

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