論文

査読有り
2014年1月

Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system

AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
  • Sherman Robinson
  • Hans van Meijl
  • Dirk Willenbockel
  • Hugo Valin
  • Shinichiro Fujimori
  • Toshihiko Masui
  • Ron Sands
  • Marshall Wise
  • Katherine Calvin
  • Petr Havlik
  • Daniel Mason d'Croz
  • Andrzej Tabeau
  • Aikaterini Kavallari
  • Christoph Schmitz
  • Jan Philipp Dietrich
  • Martin von Lampe
  • 全て表示

45
1
開始ページ
21
終了ページ
35
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1111/agec.12087
出版者・発行元
WILEY-BLACKWELL

This article compares the theoretical and functional specification of production in partial equilibrium (PE) and computable general equilibrium (CGE) models of the global agricultural and food system included in the AgMIP model comparison study. The two model families differ in their scopepartial versus economy-wideand in how they represent technology and the behavior of supply and demand in markets. The CGE models are deep structural models in that they explicitly solve the maximization problem of consumers and producers, assuming utility maximization and profit maximization with production/cost functions that include all factor inputs. The PE models divide into two groups on the supply side: (1) shallow structural models, which essentially specify area/yield supply functions with no explicit maximization behavior, and (2) deep structural models that provide a detailed activity-analysis specification of technology and explicit optimizing behavior by producers. While the models vary in their specifications of technology, both within and between the PE and CGE families, we consider two stylized theoretical models to compare the behavior of crop yields and supply functions in CGE models with their behavior in shallow structural PE models. We find that the theoretical responsiveness of supply to changes in prices can be similar, depending on parameter choices that define the behavior of implicit supply functions over the domain of applicability defined by the common scenarios used in the AgMIP comparisons. In practice, however, the applied models are more complex and differ in their empirical sensitivity to variations in specificationcomparability of results given parameter choices is an empirical question. To illustrate the issues, sensitivity analysis is done with one global CGE model, MAGNET, to indicate how the results vary with different specification of technical change, and how they compare with the results from PE models.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12087
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000329917000003&DestApp=WOS_CPL
URL
http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-84892847620&partnerID=MN8TOARS
URL
http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7897-1796
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1111/agec.12087
  • ISSN : 0169-5150
  • eISSN : 1574-0862
  • ORCIDのPut Code : 26870091
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000329917000003

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