論文

査読有り 国際誌
2020年4月29日

Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement.

Nature communications
  • Mark Roelfsema
  • Heleen L van Soest
  • Mathijs Harmsen
  • Detlef P van Vuuren
  • Christoph Bertram
  • Michel den Elzen
  • Niklas Höhne
  • Gabriela Iacobuta
  • Volker Krey
  • Elmar Kriegler
  • Gunnar Luderer
  • Keywan Riahi
  • Falko Ueckerdt
  • Jacques Després
  • Laurent Drouet
  • Johannes Emmerling
  • Stefan Frank
  • Oliver Fricko
  • Matthew Gidden
  • Florian Humpenöder
  • Daniel Huppmann
  • Shinichiro Fujimori
  • Kostas Fragkiadakis
  • Keii Gi
  • Kimon Keramidas
  • Alexandre C Köberle
  • Lara Aleluia Reis
  • Pedro Rochedo
  • Roberto Schaeffer
  • Ken Oshiro
  • Zoi Vrontisi
  • Wenying Chen
  • Gokul C Iyer
  • Jae Edmonds
  • Maria Kannavou
  • Kejun Jiang
  • Ritu Mathur
  • George Safonov
  • Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan
  • 全て表示

11
1
開始ページ
2096
終了ページ
2096
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6

Many countries have implemented national climate policies to accomplish pledged Nationally Determined Contributions and to contribute to the temperature objectives of the Paris Agreement on climate change. In 2023, the global stocktake will assess the combined effort of countries. Here, based on a public policy database and a multi-model scenario analysis, we show that implementation of current policies leaves a median emission gap of 22.4 to 28.2 GtCO2eq by 2030 with the optimal pathways to implement the well below 2 °C and 1.5 °C Paris goals. If Nationally Determined Contributions would be fully implemented, this gap would be reduced by a third. Interestingly, the countries evaluated were found to not achieve their pledged contributions with implemented policies (implementation gap), or to have an ambition gap with optimal pathways towards well below 2 °C. This shows that all countries would need to accelerate the implementation of policies for renewable technologies, while efficiency improvements are especially important in emerging countries and fossil-fuel-dependent countries.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6
PubMed
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32350258
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1038/s41467-020-15414-6
  • PubMed ID : 32350258

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