論文

査読有り 本文へのリンクあり 国際共著 国際誌
2020年12月

Antarctic ice sheet response to sudden and sustained ice-shelf collapse (ABUMIP)

Journal of Glaciology
  • Sainan Sun
  • Frank Pattyn
  • Erika G. Simon
  • Torsten Albrecht
  • Stephen Cornford
  • Reinhard Calov
  • Christophe Dumas
  • Fabien Gillet-Chaulet
  • Heiko Goelzer
  • Nicholas R. Golledge
  • Ralf Greve
  • Matthew J. Hoffman
  • Angelika Humbert
  • Elise Kazmierczak
  • Thomas Kleiner
  • Gunter R. Leguy
  • William H. Lipscomb
  • Daniel Martin
  • Mathieu Morlighem
  • Sophie Nowicki
  • David Pollard
  • Stephen Price
  • Aurelien Quiquet
  • Helene Seroussi
  • Tanja Schlemm
  • Johannes Sutter
  • Roderik S. W. van de Wal
  • Ricarda Winkelmann
  • Tong Zhang
  • 全て表示

66
260
開始ページ
891
終了ページ
904
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1017/jog.2020.67
出版者・発行元
Cambridge University Press

Antarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their 'buttressing' effect, causing a response in the grounded ice. While the processes governing ice-shelf weakening are complex, uncertainties in the response of the grounded ice sheet are also difficult to assess. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) compares ice-sheet model responses to decrease in buttressing by investigating the 'end-member' scenario of total and sustained loss of ice shelves. Although unrealistic, this scenario enables gauging the sensitivity of an ensemble of 15 ice-sheet models to a total loss of buttressing, hence exhibiting the full potential of marine ice-sheet instability. All models predict that this scenario leads to multi-metre (1-12 m) sea-level rise over 500 years from present day. West Antarctic ice sheet collapse alone leads to a 1.91-5.08 m sea-level rise due to the marine ice-sheet instability. Mass loss rates are a strong function of the sliding/friction law, with plastic laws cause a further destabilization of the Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins, East Antarctica. Improvements to marine ice-sheet models have greatly reduced variability between modelled ice-sheet responses to extreme ice-shelf loss, e.g. compared to the SeaRISE assessments.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2020.67 本文へのリンクあり
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000592212900001&DestApp=WOS_CPL
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1017/jog.2020.67
  • ISSN : 0022-1430
  • eISSN : 1727-5652
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000592212900001

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