論文

査読有り
2012年3月

Modeling of Contagious Credit Events and Risk Analysis of Credit Portfolios (共著)

Asia-Pacific Financial Markets
  • Suguru Yamanaka
  • ,
  • Masaaki Sugihara
  • ,
  • Hidetoshi Nakagawa

19
1
開始ページ
43
終了ページ
62
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1007/s10690-011-9141-9

We present a new model of the occurence of credit events such as rating changes and defaults for risk analyses of some portfolio credit derivatives. The framework of our model is based on a so-called top-down approach. Specifically, we first consider modeling the point process of each type of credit event in the whole economy using a self-exciting intensity process. Next, we characterize the point processes of credit events in the underlying sub-portfolio using random thinning processes specified by the distribution of credit ratings in the sub-portfolio. One of the main features of our model is that the model can capture credit risk contagion simultaneously among several credit portfolios. We present a credit event simulation algorithm based on our model and illustrate an application of the model to risk analyses of loan portfolios.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-011-9141-9
URL
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10690-011-9141-9
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1007/s10690-011-9141-9
  • ISSN : 1387-2834
  • SCOPUS ID : 84856949652

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