Papers

International journal
Feb 3, 2022

Clinical Utility of 4C Mortality Scores among Japanese COVID-19 Patients: A Multicenter Study.

Journal of clinical medicine
  • Kazuki Ocho
  • ,
  • Hideharu Hagiya
  • ,
  • Kou Hasegawa
  • ,
  • Kouji Fujita
  • ,
  • Fumio Otsuka

Volume
11
Number
3
Language
English
Publishing type
Research paper (scientific journal)
DOI
10.3390/jcm11030821

BACKGROUND: We analyzed data from COVID-19 patients in Japan to assess the utility of the 4C mortality score as compared with conventional scorings. METHODS: In this multicenter study, COVID-19 patients hospitalized between March 2020 and June 2021, over 16 years old, were recruited. The superiority for correctly predicting mortality and severity by applying the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was compared. A Cox regression model was used to compare the length of hospitalization for each risk group of 4C mortality score. RESULTS: Among 206 patients, 21 patients died. The area under the curve (AUC) (95% confidential interval (CI)) of the ROC curve for mortality and severity, respectively, of 4C mortality scores (0.84 (95% CI 0.76-0.92) and 0.85 (95% CI 0.80-0.91)) were higher than those of qSOFA (0.66 (95% CI 0.53-0.78) and 0.67 (95% CI 0.59-0.75)), SOFA (0.70 (95% CI 0.55-0.84) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.74-0.89)), A-DROP (0.78 (95% CI 0.69-0.88) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.74-0.88)), and CURB-65 (0.82 (95% CI 0.74-0.90) and 0.82 (95% CI 0.76-0.88)). For length of hospitalization among survivors, the intermediate- and high- or very high-risk groups had significantly lower hazard ratios, i.e., 0.48 (95% CI 0.30-0.76)) and 0.23 (95% CI 0.13-0.43) for discharge. CONCLUSIONS: The 4C mortality score is better for estimating mortality and severity in COVID-19 Japanese patients than other scoring systems.

Link information
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm11030821
PubMed
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35160272
PubMed Central
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8836893
ID information
  • DOI : 10.3390/jcm11030821
  • Pubmed ID : 35160272
  • Pubmed Central ID : PMC8836893

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