論文

査読有り
2014年7月

Inferring the origin of an epidemic with a dynamic message-passing algorithm

Phys. Rev. E
  • Andrey Y. Lokhov
  • ,
  • Marc Mezard
  • ,
  • Hiroki Ohta
  • ,
  • Lenka Zdeborova

90
開始ページ
012801
終了ページ
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1103/PhysRevE.90.012801
出版者・発行元
AMER PHYSICAL SOC

We study the problem of estimating the origin of an epidemic outbreak: given a contact network and a snapshot of epidemic spread at a certain time, determine the infection source. This problem is important in different contexts of computer or social networks. Assuming that the epidemic spread follows the usual susceptible-infected-recovered model, we introduce an inference algorithm based on dynamic message-passing equations and we show that it leads to significant improvement of performance compared to existing approaches. Importantly, this algorithm remains efficient in the case where the snapshot sees only a part of the network.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.90.012801
arXiv
http://arxiv.org/abs/arXiv:1303.5315
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000349303300002&DestApp=WOS_CPL
URL
http://arxiv.org/abs/1303.5315v3
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1103/PhysRevE.90.012801
  • ISSN : 1539-3755
  • eISSN : 1550-2376
  • arXiv ID : arXiv:1303.5315
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000349303300002

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