論文

査読有り
2018年9月

The natural yield curve: its concept and measurement

Empirical Economics
  • Kei Imakubo
  • ,
  • Haruki Kojima
  • ,
  • Jouchi Nakajima

55
2
開始ページ
551
終了ページ
572
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1007/s00181-017-1289-3

This paper illustrates the concept of the natural yield curve and how to measure it. The natural yield curve extends the idea of the natural rate of interest defined at a single maturity to one defined for all maturities. If the actual real yield curve matches the natural yield curve, the output gap will converge to zero. An empirical analysis using data for Japan shows that past monetary easing programs expanded the gap between the actual real yield curve and the natural yield curve mainly for short and medium maturities and led to accommodative financial conditions. By contrast, the quantitative and qualitative monetary easing policy has expanded the gap for long maturities as well as short and medium maturities. The natural yield curve is expected to provide a useful benchmark in the conduct of both conventional monetary policy and unconventional monetary policy aiming to influence the entire yield curve.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-017-1289-3
Scopus
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85021727860&origin=inward
Scopus Citedby
https://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85021727860&origin=inward
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1007/s00181-017-1289-3
  • ISSN : 0377-7332
  • SCOPUS ID : 85021727860

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