論文

査読有り 責任著者
2014年

Regional differences in the growing incidence of dengue fever in Vietnam explained by weather variability

Tropical Medicine and Health
  • Ha Hai Vu
  • ,
  • Junko Okumura
  • ,
  • Masahiro Hashizume
  • ,
  • Duong Nhu Tran
  • ,
  • Taro Yamamoto

42
1
開始ページ
25
終了ページ
33
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.2149/tmh.2013-24
出版者・発行元
Japanese Society of Tropical Medicine

Dengue fever is a major health problem in Vietnam, but its incidence differs from province to province. To understand this at the local level, we assessed the effect of four weather components (humidity, rainfall, temperature and sunshine) on the number of dengue cases in nine provinces of Vietnam. Monthly data from 1999 to 2009 were analysed by time-series regression using negative binomial models. A test for heterogeneity was applied to assess the weather-dengue association in the provinces. Those associations were significantly heterogeneous (for temperature, humidity, and sunshine: P &lt
0.001 heterogeneity test
for rainfall: P = 0.018 heterogeneity test). This confirms that weather components strongly affect dengue transmission at a lag time of 0 to 3 months, with considerable variation in their influence among different areas in Vietnam. This finding may promote the strategic prevention of dengue disease by suggesting specific plans at the local level, rather than a nationally unified approach. © 2014 by The Japanese Society of Tropical Medicine.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2149/tmh.2013-24
PubMed
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24808744
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.2149/tmh.2013-24
  • ISSN : 1349-4147
  • ISSN : 1348-8945
  • PubMed ID : 24808744
  • SCOPUS ID : 84896458292

エクスポート
BibTeX RIS