論文

査読有り 本文へのリンクあり 国際誌
2016年3月1日

Development of fully Bayesian multiple-time-window source inversion

GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL
  • Hisahiko Kubo
  • ,
  • Kimiyuki Asano
  • ,
  • Tomotaka Iwata
  • ,
  • Shin Aoi

204
3
開始ページ
1601
終了ページ
1619
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1093/gji/ggv540
出版者・発行元
OXFORD UNIV PRESS

In the estimation of spatiotemporal slip models, kinematic source inversions using Akaike's Bayesian Information Criterion (ABIC) and the multiple-time-window method have often been used. However, there are cases in which conventional ABIC-based source inversions do not work well in the determination of hyperparameters when a non-negative slip constraint is used. In order to overcome this problem, a new source inversion method was developed in this study. The new method introduces a fully Bayesian method into the kinematic multiple-time-window source inversion. The multiple-time-window method is one common way of parametrizing a source time function and is highly flexible in terms of the shape of the source time function. The probability distributions of model parameters and hyperparameters can be directly obtained by using the Markov chain Monte Carlo method. These probability distributions are useful for simply evaluating the uniqueness and reliability of the derived model, which is another advantage of a fully Bayesian method. This newly developed source inversion method was applied to the 2011 Ibaraki-oki, Japan, earthquake (M-w 7.9) to demonstrate its usefulness. It was demonstrated that the problem with using the conventional ABIC-based source inversion method for hyperparameter determination appeared in the spatiotemporal source inversion of this event and that the newly developed source inversion could overcome this problem.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggv540 本文へのリンクあり
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000373719100014&DestApp=WOS_CPL
共同研究・競争的資金等の研究課題
海溝型巨大地震の広帯域強震動予測のための震源モデル構築に関する研究
共同研究・競争的資金等の研究課題
海溝型巨大地震の震源不均質の階層性が支配する強震動生成メカニズムの解明
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1093/gji/ggv540
  • ISSN : 0956-540X
  • eISSN : 1365-246X
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000373719100014

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