2015年6月
Bias Correction in Typhoon and Storm Surge Projection Considering Characteristics of Global Climate Model MRI-AGCM3.2S
JOURNAL OF DISASTER RESEARCH
- ,
- ,
- ,
- ,
- ,
- 巻
- 10
- 号
- 3
- 開始ページ
- 448
- 終了ページ
- 456
- 記述言語
- 英語
- 掲載種別
- 研究論文(学術雑誌)
- DOI
- 10.20965/jdr.2015.p0448
- 出版者・発行元
- FUJI TECHNOLOGY PRESS LTD
The typhoons that so often rage across Japan's southwestern island, Kyushu, are expected to occur even oftener in the future due to global warming. Storm surge projections have been reported based on the super-high-resolution global climate model MRI-AGCM3.2S developed by Japan's Meteorological Research Institute (MRI). AGCM3.2S overestimates typhoon strength around Japanese islands, however, and this could lead to exaggerated storm surge projection. We therefore evaluate a bias correction method of typhoon strength considering the typhoon characteristics of AGCM3.2 in estimating maximum storm surge anomaly on the Ariake Sea coast. Our results indicated the possibility of storm surge anomaly of 2.8 m, exceeding the current design storm surge anomaly of 2.36 m at the innermost Ariake Sea.
- リンク情報
- ID情報
-
- DOI : 10.20965/jdr.2015.p0448
- ISSN : 1881-2473
- eISSN : 1883-8030
- Web of Science ID : WOS:000448816800006