BACKGROUND: In first-time acute traumatic patellar dislocations, numerous anatomic and clinical factors are complicatedly associated and should be comprehensively considered for the optimal management of conservative or surgical intervention. The purpose of this study was to establish a scoring system, using a concept that is not complicated and easily used in clinic. METHODS: Of 131 first-time acute traumatic patellar dislocations, 81 patients (51 females, 30 males) with an average age of 19.6 (95%CI, 17.5-21.6) years and an average follow-up duration of 17.1 (95% CI, 12.3-21.9) months, who underwent conservative treatment after first-time dislocations, were reviewed. Based on the odds ratios applying logistic regression analysis, the scoring system was established. RESULTS: The scoring system (total: 10 points) had simple composition of age <20 (2 points), sports injury (1 points), hemarthrosis (1 points), and image findings of a bony fragment (3 points), lateral shift of the patella (1 points), and trochlear dysplasia (2 points). A threshold score of 6.5 was determined using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.893 (p < 0.0001). In logistic regression analysis, a score of ≥7 was shown to be a dominant factor for recurrence (OR = 27.1, p < 0.0001). Furthermore, the association between the score and recurrence risk was as follows: a score of ≤4 = low risk (1/21 cases, 5%); a score of 5-7 = medium risk (13/27 cases, 48%); a score of ≥8 = high risk (30/33 cases, 91%). CONCLUSIONS: Based on the simple scoring system, patients who scored ≥8 were considered suitable for surgical treatment because of the high rate of recurrence, whereas those who scored ≤4 were considered suitable for conservative treatment because of the low rate of recurrence.