論文

査読有り
2013年3月27日

On the lack of stratospheric dynamical variability in low-top versions of the CMIP5 models

Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
  • Andrew J. Charlton-Perez
  • Mark P. Baldwin
  • Thomas Birner
  • Robert X. Black
  • Amy H. Butler
  • Natalia Calvo
  • Nicholas A. Davis
  • Edwin P. Gerber
  • Nathan Gillett
  • Steven Hardiman
  • Junsu Kim
  • Kirstin Krüger
  • Yun-Young Lee
  • Elisa Manzini
  • Brent A. McDaniel
  • Lorenzo Polvani
  • Thomas Reichler
  • Tiffany A. Shaw
  • Michael Sigmond
  • Seok-Woo Son
  • Matthew Toohey
  • Laura Wilcox
  • Shigeo Yoden
  • Bo Christiansen
  • François Lott
  • Drew Shindell
  • Seiji Yukimoto
  • Shingo Watanabe
  • 全て表示

118
6
開始ページ
2494
終了ページ
2505
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1002/jgrd.50125
出版者・発行元
Blackwell Publishing Ltd

We describe the main differences in simulations of stratospheric climate and variability by models within the fifth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) that have a model top above the stratopause and relatively fine stratospheric vertical resolution (high-top), and those that have a model top below the stratopause (low-top). Although the simulation of mean stratospheric climate by the two model ensembles is similar, the low-top model ensemble has very weak stratospheric variability on daily and interannual time scales. The frequency of major sudden stratospheric warming events is strongly underestimated by the low-top models with less than half the frequency of events observed in the reanalysis data and high-top models. The lack of stratospheric variability in the low-top models affects their stratosphere-troposphere coupling, resulting in short-lived anomalies in the Northern Annular Mode, which do not produce long-lasting tropospheric impacts, as seen in observations. The lack of stratospheric variability, however, does not appear to have any impact on the ability of the low-top models to reproduce past stratospheric temperature trends. We find little improvement in the simulation of decadal variability for the high-top models compared to the low-top, which is likely related to the fact that neither ensemble produces a realistic dynamical response to volcanic eruptions. © 2013. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50125
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1002/jgrd.50125
  • ISSN : 2169-8996
  • SCOPUS ID : 84876733097

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