論文

査読有り 最終著者 国際共著 国際誌
2020年11月

A real-time tephra fallout rate model by a small-compact X-band Multi-Parameter radar

Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research
  • Magfira Syarifuddin
  • Satoru Oishi
  • Haruhisa Nakamichi
  • Masayuki Maki
  • Ratih Indri Hapsari
  • Hanggar Ganara Mawandha
  • Nurnaning Aisyah
  • Ahmad Basuki
  • Agoes Loeqman
  • Makoto Shimomura
  • Masato Iguchi
  • 全て表示

405
開始ページ
107040
終了ページ
107040
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2020.107040
出版者・発行元
Elsevier BV

Real-time monitoring of volcanic tephra fallout rate is an important factor to predict ash plume dispersion and to mitigate risk to air traffic. Ground-based weather radar has been one of the fundamental instruments to detect the plume and derive eruptive source parameters, such as the tephra fallout rate. The current work presents the use of two small and compact X-band Multi-Parameter (X-MP) radars for a new tephra fallout rate model development and the technical aspects of the system in Sinabung and Merapi Volcanoes. The new model estimates the tephra fallout rate using two radar parameters: the specific differential phase shift parameter and the reflectivity intensity factor. Total cumulated mass estimated from the radar-based tephra fallout rate model from the radar is compared with the plume height model and an empirical radar-based model. A volcanic eruptive index (VEI)-2 of Sinabung generated a plume exceeding 15 km, resulting in a maximum tephra fallout rate of 0.58 kg m(-2) h(-1 )and a total tephra mass of 51 x 10(6) kg. The VEI 1 of Sinabung caused a plume height of 2.5 km, resulting in a maximum tephra fallout rate of 0.3 kg m(-2 )h(-1) and a total cumulated tephra of 9 x 10(6) kg. In the last case, a VEI 1 eruption of Mt. Merapi produces a 6 km plume. resulting in a maximum tephra fallout rate of 028 kg m(-2 )h(-1) and a total cumulated tephra of 35 x 10(6) kg. The sector range height indicator scan-mode strategy in the VEI 2 eruption of ML Sinabung ran at six degrees azimuth angles capturing only a partial volume of the plume. Thus, the total mass was only 22% of the result from the empirical plume height model, even though the plume height was assumed to be equally the same with the maximum height scanned of radar at 7 km. In contrast, the volumetric scan by a plan position indicator strategy gave a total cumulated tephra mass, that matches better to the result of the empirical plume height model at 65-92%. Based on these results and the ability of the X-MP radar to capture the volcanic plume at the same reported onset time, we can confirm the importance of an X-MP radar for real-time tephra fallout monitoring during an eruption. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2020.107040
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000579897900008&DestApp=WOS_CPL
Scopus
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85090574934&origin=inward
Scopus Citedby
https://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85090574934&origin=inward
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2020.107040
  • ISSN : 0377-0273
  • eISSN : 1872-6097
  • SCOPUS ID : 85090574934
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000579897900008

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