論文

査読有り 本文へのリンクあり 国際誌
2017年8月

Development and validation of a set of six adaptable prognosis prediction (SAP) models based on time-series real-world big data analysis for patients with cancer receiving chemotherapy: A multicenter case crossover study

PLoS ONE
  • Yu Uneno
  • Kei Taneishi
  • Masashi Kanai
  • Kazuya Okamoto
  • Yosuke Yamamoto
  • Akira Yoshioka
  • Shuji Hiramoto
  • Akira Nozaki
  • Yoshitaka Nishikawa
  • Daisuke Yamaguchi
  • Teruko Tomono
  • Masahiko Nakatsui
  • Mika Baba
  • Tatsuya Morita
  • Shigemi Matsumoto
  • Tomohiro Kuroda
  • Yasushi Okuno
  • Manabu Muto
  • 全て表示

12
8
開始ページ
e0183291
終了ページ
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1371/journal.pone.0183291
出版者・発行元
PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE

Background We aimed to develop an adaptable prognosis prediction model that could be applied at any time point during the treatment course for patients with cancer receiving chemotherapy, by applying time-series real-world big data. Methods Between April 2004 and September 2014, 4,997 patients with cancer who had received systemic chemotherapy were registered in a prospective cohort database at the Kyoto University Hospital. Of these, 2,693 patients with a death record were eligible for inclusion and divided into training (n = 1,341) and test (n = 1,352) cohorts. In total, 3,471,521 laboratory data at 115,738 time points, representing 40 laboratory items [e.g., white blood cell counts and albumin (Alb) levels] that were monitored for 1 year before the death event were applied for constructing prognosis prediction models. All possible prediction models comprising three different items from 40 laboratory items (40C3 = 9,880) were generated in the training cohort, and the model selection was performed in the test cohort. The fitness of the selected models was externally validated in the validation cohort from three independent settings. Results A prognosis prediction model utilizing Alb, lactate dehydrogenase, and neutrophils was selected based on a strong ability to predict death events within 1–6 months and a set of six prediction models corresponding to 1,2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 months was developed. The area under the curve (AUC) ranged from 0.852 for the 1 month model to 0.713 for the 6 month model. External validation supported the performance of these models. Conclusion By applying time-series real-world big data, we successfully developed a set of six adaptable prognosis prediction models for patients with cancer receiving chemotherapy.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0183291
PubMed
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28837592
PubMed Central
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5570326
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000408365000057&DestApp=WOS_CPL
Scopus
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85028439530&origin=inward 本文へのリンクあり
Scopus Citedby
https://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85028439530&origin=inward
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1371/journal.pone.0183291
  • ISSN : 1932-6203
  • eISSN : 1932-6203
  • PubMed ID : 28837592
  • PubMed Central 記事ID : PMC5570326
  • SCOPUS ID : 85028439530
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000408365000057

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