2021年
An agent-based model of the interrelation between the COVID-19 outbreak and economic activities
Proceedings of the Royal Society A
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- ,
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- 巻
- 477
- 号
- 2245
- 開始ページ
- 20200604
- 終了ページ
- 20200604
- 記述言語
- 英語
- 掲載種別
- 研究論文(学術雑誌)
- DOI
- 10.1098/rspa.2020.0604
- 出版者・発行元
- The Royal Society
As of July 2020, COVID-19 caused by SARS-COV-2 is spreading worldwide, causing severe economic damage. While minimizing human contact is effective in managing outbreaks, it causes severe economic losses. Strategies to solve this dilemma by considering the interrelation between the spread of the virus and economic activities are urgently needed to mitigate the health and economic damage. Here, we propose an abstract agent-based model of the COVID-19 outbreak that accounts for economic activities. The computational simulation of the model recapitulates the trade-off between the health and economic damage associated with voluntary restraint measures. Based on the simulation results, we discuss how the macroscopic dynamics of infection and economics emerge from individuals’ behaviours. We believe our model can serve as a platform for discussing solutions to the above-mentioned dilemma.
- リンク情報
- ID情報
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- DOI : 10.1098/rspa.2020.0604
- ISSN : 1364-5021
- eISSN : 1471-2946