論文

査読有り
2013年

Complex Principal Component Analysis of Dynamic Correlations in Financial Markets

INTELLIGENT DECISION TECHNOLOGIES
  • Yuta Arai
  • ,
  • Takeo Yoshikawa
  • ,
  • Hiroshi Iyetomi

255
開始ページ
111
終了ページ
119
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(国際会議プロシーディングス)
DOI
10.3233/978-1-61499-264-6-111
出版者・発行元
IOS PRESS

Integration of principal component analysis (PCA) with random matrix theory (RMT) has been successful in analyzing cross correlations between stock price movements in financial markets. RMT is used as a null hypothesis to distinguish between genuine cross correlations and noises. In this paper, we develop a RMT-aided complex PCA method based on the Hilbert transformation of time series. The complex data thus generated carry dynamic information in a form of instantaneous phase; the conventional PCA is entirely dependent on simultaneous correlations in time. Accordingly RMT is generalized to be adaptable to complex PCA. The data set analyzed here is daily returns in Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) spanning from 1996 to 2006. Diagonalization of the complex correlation matrix enables us to find that a small number of the eigenvalues certainly deviate from the RMT prediction. The largest eigenvalue represents a market mode in which all of the stock prices move in a collective way. The eigenvectors of the other remaining large eigenvalues clearly show formation of stock groups as characterized by business sectors and also indicates existence of dynamical correlations between some sectors.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3233/978-1-61499-264-6-111
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000339338700013&DestApp=WOS_CPL
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.3233/978-1-61499-264-6-111
  • ISSN : 0922-6389
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000339338700013

エクスポート
BibTeX RIS