論文

査読有り 国際誌
2019年1月

A Probabilistic Approach to Assess External Doses to the Public Considering Spatial Variability of Radioactive Contamination and Interpopulation Differences in Behavior Pattern.

Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
  • Shogo Takahara
  • ,
  • Masashi Iijima
  • ,
  • Minoru Yoneda
  • ,
  • Yoko Shimada

39
1
開始ページ
212
終了ページ
224
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1111/risa.12900

Dose assessment is an important issue from the viewpoints of protecting people from radiation exposure and managing postaccident situations adequately. However, the radiation doses received by people cannot be determined with complete accuracy because of the uncertainties and the variability associated with any process of defining individual characteristics and in the dose assessment process itself. In this study, a dose assessment model was developed based on measurements and surveys of individual doses and relevant contributors (i.e., ambient dose rates and behavior patterns) in Fukushima City for four population groups: Fukushima City Office staff, Senior Citizens' Club, Contractors' Association, and Agricultural Cooperative. In addition, probabilistic assessments were performed for these population groups by considering the spatial variability of contamination and interpopulation differences resulting from behavior patterns. As a result of comparison with the actual measurements, the assessment results for participants from the Fukushima City Office agreed with the measured values, thereby validating the model and the approach. Although the assessment results obtained for the Senior Citizens' Club and the Agricultural Cooperative differ partly from the measured values, by addressing further considerations in terms of dose reduction effects due to decontamination and the impact of additional exposure sources in agricultural fields, these results can be improved. By contrast, the measurements obtained for the participants from the Contractors' Association were not reproduced well in the present study. To assess the doses to this group, further investigations of association members' work activities and the related dose reduction effects are needed.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12900
PubMed
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28884836
URL
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85059497435&origin=inward
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1111/risa.12900
  • ISSN : 0272-4332
  • PubMed ID : 28884836
  • SCOPUS ID : 85059497435

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