論文

2021年5月

Long-term implications of electric vehicle penetration in urban decarbonization scenarios: An integrated land use–transport–energy model

Sustainable Cities and Society
  • Runsen Zhang
  • ,
  • Junyi Zhang
  • ,
  • Yin Long
  • ,
  • Wenchao Wu
  • ,
  • Jingyu Liu
  • ,
  • Ying Jiang

68
開始ページ
102800
終了ページ
102800
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1016/j.scs.2021.102800
出版者・発行元
Elsevier {BV}

Electric vehicles (EVs) are considered a promising technology and an attractive solution for a low-carbon future. It is therefore necessary to model the market penetration of EVs and determine the role of EV adoption in future urban decarbonization scenarios. This study developed an integrated land use–transport–energy model to examine interactions between location choice, land use, transport patterns, energy profiles, and economy when implementing a stringent EV policy. Two scenarios were structured to investigate the long-term (to 2050) impacts of EV adoption on population distribution, land use patterns, transport demand, energy mix, emission profiles, and social welfare. Scenario simulations showed that ambitious market diffusion of EVs is likely to have significant positive effects on emission reduction in city centers, while economic benefits tend to occur in suburban areas, implying that EV adoption will play an important role in the spatial organization and structure of cities. The spatial heterogeneity of different urban zones requires more attention when evaluating the effectiveness of sustainable urban policies. Because disaggregated spatial interactions can be handled by the new integrated model, the methodology proposed here will be a useful tool for sustainable urban planning.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2021.102800
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000636581900002&DestApp=WOS_CPL
Scopus
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85101766812&origin=inward
Scopus Citedby
https://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85101766812&origin=inward
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1016/j.scs.2021.102800
  • ISSN : 2210-6707
  • eISSN : 2210-6715
  • ORCIDのPut Code : 89306595
  • SCOPUS ID : 85101766812
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000636581900002

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