Papers

Peer-reviewed
May, 2019

Currency carry trades and the conditional factor model

International Review of Financial Analysis
  • Ryuta Sakemoto

Volume
63
Number
First page
198
Last page
208
Language
English
Publishing type
Research paper (scientific journal)
DOI
10.1016/j.irfa.2019.03.007

© 2019 Elsevier Inc. This study employs a conditional factor model in order to investigate the time-varying profitability of currency carry trades. To that end, I estimate conditional alphas and betas on the popular dollar and carry factors through the use of a nonparametric approach. The empirical results illustrate that the alphas and betas vary over time. Furthermore, I find that the alpha of a high interest rate currency portfolio increases in a trough in a business cycle and in a state of high market uncertainty. However, the beta on the dollar factor decreases in these market conditions, suggesting that investors reduce the foreign currency risk exposure.

Link information
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2019.03.007
Scopus
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85064523851&origin=inward
Scopus Citedby
https://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.uri?partnerID=HzOxMe3b&scp=85064523851&origin=inward
ID information
  • DOI : 10.1016/j.irfa.2019.03.007
  • ISSN : 1057-5219
  • ORCID - Put Code : 58097295
  • SCOPUS ID : 85064523851

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