論文

国際誌
2021年10月

Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale: A Multicountry Study.

Environmental epidemiology (Philadelphia, Pa.)
  • Aurelio Tobías
  • Masahiro Hashizume
  • Yasushi Honda
  • Francesco Sera
  • Chris Fook Sheng Ng
  • Yoonhee Kim
  • Dominic Roye
  • Yeonseung Chung
  • Tran Ngoc Dang
  • Ho Kim
  • Whanhee Lee
  • Carmen Íñiguez
  • Ana Vicedo-Cabrera
  • Rosana Abrutzky
  • Yuming Guo
  • Shilu Tong
  • Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho
  • Paulo Hilario Nascimento Saldiva
  • Eric Lavigne
  • Patricia Matus Correa
  • Nicolás Valdés Ortega
  • Haidong Kan
  • Samuel Osorio
  • Jan Kyselý
  • Aleš Urban
  • Hans Orru
  • Ene Indermitte
  • Jouni J K Jaakkola
  • Niilo R I Ryti
  • Mathilde Pascal
  • Veronika Huber
  • Alexandra Schneider
  • Klea Katsouyanni
  • Antonis Analitis
  • Alireza Entezari
  • Fatemeh Mayvaneh
  • Patrick Goodman
  • Ariana Zeka
  • Paola Michelozzi
  • Francesca de'Donato
  • Barrak Alahmad
  • Magali Hurtado Diaz
  • César De la Cruz Valencia
  • Ala Overcenco
  • Danny Houthuijs
  • Caroline Ameling
  • Shilpa Rao
  • Francesco Di Ruscio
  • Gabriel Carrasco
  • Xerxes Seposo
  • Baltazar Nunes
  • Joana Madureira
  • Iulian-Horia Holobaca
  • Noah Scovronick
  • Fiorella Acquaotta
  • Bertil Forsberg
  • Christofer Åström
  • Martina S Ragettli
  • Yue-Liang Leon Guo
  • Bing-Yu Chen
  • Shanshan Li
  • Valentina Colistro
  • Antonella Zanobetti
  • Joel Schwartz
  • Do Van Dung
  • Ben Armstrong
  • Antonio Gasparrini
  • 全て表示

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5
開始ページ
e169
終了ページ
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1097/EE9.0000000000000169

Background: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale. Methods: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators. Results: The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 °C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 °C) to continental (19.3 °C), temperate (21.7 °C), arid (24.5 °C), and tropical (26.5 °C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 °C for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 °C for a 1 °C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 °C rise in its SD. Conclusions: The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1097/EE9.0000000000000169
PubMed
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34934890
PubMed Central
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8683148
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1097/EE9.0000000000000169
  • PubMed ID : 34934890
  • PubMed Central 記事ID : PMC8683148

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