論文

査読有り
2017年2月

Differences in behavior and distribution of permafrost-related lakes in Central Yakutia and their response to climatic drivers

WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
  • M. Ulrich
  • ,
  • H. Matthes
  • ,
  • L. Schirrmeister
  • ,
  • J. Schuetze
  • ,
  • H. Park
  • ,
  • Y. Iijima
  • ,
  • A. N. Fedorov

53
2
開始ページ
1167
終了ページ
1188
記述言語
英語
掲載種別
研究論文(学術雑誌)
DOI
10.1002/2016WR019267
出版者・発行元
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION

The Central Yakutian permafrost landscape is rapidly being modified by land use and global warming, but small-scale thermokarst process variability and hydrological conditions are poorly understood. We analyze lake-area changes and thaw subsidence of young thermokarst lakes on ice-complex deposits (yedoma lakes) in comparison to residual lakes in alas basins during the last 70 years for a local study site and we record regional lake size and distribution on different ice-rich permafrost terraces using satellite and historical airborne imagery. Statistical analysis of climatic and ground-temperature data identified driving factors of yedoma- and alas-lake changes. Overall, lake area is larger today than in 1944 but alas-lake levels have oscillated greatly over 70 years, with a mean alas-lake-radius change rate of 1.63.0 m/yr. Anthropogenic disturbance and forest degradation initiated, and climate forced rapid, continuous yedoma-lake growth. The mean yedoma lake-radius change rate equals 1.21.0 m/yr over the whole observation period. Mean thaw subsidence below yedoma lakes is 6.21.4 cm/yr. Multiple regression analysis suggests that winter precipitation, winter temperature, and active-layer properties are primary controllers of area changes in both lake types; summer weather and permafrost conditions additionally influence yedoma-lake growth rates. The main controlling factors of alas-lake changes are unclear due to larger catchment areas and subsurface hydrological conditions. Increasing thermokarst activity is currently linked to older terraces with higher ground-ice contents, but thermokarst activity will likely stay high and wet conditions will persist within the near future in Central Yakutian alas basins.

リンク情報
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019267
Web of Science
https://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=JSTA_CEL&SrcApp=J_Gate_JST&DestLinkType=FullRecord&KeyUT=WOS:000398568800010&DestApp=WOS_CPL
ID情報
  • DOI : 10.1002/2016WR019267
  • ISSN : 0043-1397
  • eISSN : 1944-7973
  • ORCIDのPut Code : 51280400
  • Web of Science ID : WOS:000398568800010

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