Jiancang ZHUANG

J-GLOBAL         Last updated: Oct 17, 2017 at 03:00
 

Research Areas

 
 

Published Papers

 
Multiple Linear Regression Analyses on the Relationships among Magnitude, Rupture Length, Rupture Width, Rupture Area, and Surface Displacement
Chu, A., Jiancang ZHUANG
Rock Anisotropy, Fracture and Earthquake Assessment   219-237   Feb 2016   [Refereed]
Current challenges in statistical seismology
Huang, Q., M. Gestenberger, J. Zhuang
Pure and Applied Geophysics   173(1) 1-3   Jan 2016   [Refereed]
Statistical Evaluation of Efficiency and Possibility of Earthquake Predictions with Gravity Field Variation and its Analytic Signal in Western China
Chen, S., C. Jiang, J. Zhuang Jiancang
Pure and Applied Geophysics   173(1) 305-319   Jan 2016   [Refereed]
A hypocentral version of the space-time ETAS model
Guo, Y., Zhuang, J., Zhou, S.
Geophysical Journal International   203(1) 366-372   Oct 2015   [Refereed]
Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes
Jiancang ZHUANG
Spatial Statistics   14 166-178   Aug 2015   [Refereed]
Yicun Guo, Jiancang Zhuang, Shiyong Zhou
Journal of Geophysical Research B: Solid Earth   120 3309-3323   May 2015
©2015. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. This study incorporates the rupture geometry of big earthquakes in the formulation of the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, which is a point process model widely applied in the ...
Evaluation methods of earthquake forecasts (in Japanese).
Jiancang ZHUANG、Yosihiko OGATA
Proceedings of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics   63 29-44   2015   [Refereed]
Stochastic simulation of earthquake catalogs
Jiancang ZHUANG, Touati, S.
Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis      2015   [Refereed]
Zechar, Jeremy Douglas D., Zhuang, Jiancang
Geophysical Journal International   199 60-68   Oct 2014   [Refereed]
Han, Peng, Hattori, Katsumi, Hirokawa, Maiko, Zhuang, Jiancang, Chen, Chieh-Hung, Febty Febriani, Hiroki Yamaguchi, Chie Yoshino, Jann-Yenq Liu, Shuji Yoshida
Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics   119(6) 4998-5011   Jun 2014   [Refereed]
Gert Zoeller (Univ. Potsdam), Matthias Holschneider (Univ. Potsdam), Sebastian Hainzl (GFZ), and Jiancang Zhuang (ISM)
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America   104(2) 769-779   Apr 2014   [Refereed]
Statistical modeling of earthquake occurrences based on external geophysical observations: with an illustrative application to the ultra-low frequency ground electric signals observed in the Beijing region
Zhuang J., Ogata Y., Vere-Jones D., Ma L., and Guan H.
In Seismic Imaging, Fault Rock Damage and Healing   351-376   Mar 2014   [Refereed]
Ke Jia, Shiyong Zhou, Jiancang Zhuang, Changsheng Jiang
Seismological Research Letters   85 60-67   Jan 2014
Maura Murru, Jiancang Zhuang, Rodolfo Console, Giuseppe Falcone
Annals of Geophysics   57 2-18   Jan 2014
© 2014 by the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia. All rights reserved. In this paper, we compare the forecasting performance of several statistical models, which are used to describe the occurrence process of earthquakes in forecasting...
Jiancang Zhuang, Maximilian J. Werner, David S. Harte
Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics   88(6,Pt.A) 062109.1-062109.13   Dec 2013
We study the stability conditions of a class of branching processes prominent in the analysis and modeling of seismicity. This class includes the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model as a special case, but more generally comprises models...
Changsheng Jiang, Jiancang Zhuang, Feng Long, Libo Han, Lujie Guo
Acta Seismologica Sinica   35 661-669   Sep 2013
The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model was fitted to the aftershock sequence of the April 20, 2013 Lushan MS7.0 earthquake with cutoff magnitude Mc=ML2.0 and a fitting time interval from 0.31 days to 24.12 days after the earthquake. Th...
Chang Sheng Jiang, Zhong Liang Wu, Jian Cang Zhuang
Chinese Journal of Geophysics (Acta Geophysica Sinica)   56(9) 2971-2981   Sep 2013
Aftershock sequence can last a long time in the vicinity of historical strong earthquakes, especially in the mid-continental regions where deformation rate is low. The earthquake-sequence-association (ESA) problem, that is, whether an earthquake i...
Abdelhak Talbi, Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Jiancang Zhuang, Kenji Satake, Mohamed Hamdache
Geophysical Journal International   194(3) 1823-1835   Sep 2013
This study introduces a new earthquake forecasting model that uses the moment ratio (MR) of the first to second order moments of earthquake interevent times as a precursory alarmindex to forecast large earthquake events. This MR model is based on ...
Abdelhak Talbi, Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Kenji Satake, Jiancang Zhuang, Mohamed Hamdache
Journal of Seismology   17(3) 1041-1061   Jul 2013
We present a new measure of earthquake clustering and explore its use for comparing the performance of three different declustering methods. The advantage of this new clustering measure over existing techniques is that it can be used for non-Poiss...
Yosihiko Ogata, Koichi Katsura, Giuseppe Falcone, Kazuyoshi Nanjo, Jiancang Zhuang
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America   103(3) 1692-1708   Jun 2013
Among scoring methods employed to determine the performance of probability predictions, the log-likelihood method is the most common and useful. Although the log-likelihood score evaluates the comprehensive power of forecasts, we need to further e...
Ting Wang, Jiancang Zhuang, Teruyuki Kato, Mark Bebbington
Geophysical Research Letters   40(11) 2631-2635   Jun 2013
We validate that changes of ground deformation recorded by GPS contain useful information for earthquake forecasting. A moving rate of variation filter is used to extract short-term signals from GPS time series in New Zealand, California, and Japa...
Katrina M. Jacobs, Euan G C Smith, Martha K. Savage, Jiangcang Zhuang
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth   118 553-569   Jan 2013
We present a new cumulative rate (CURATE) clustering method to identify earthquake sequences especially in regions with swarm activity. The method identifies sequences by comparing observed rates to an average rate. It is distinct from previous cl...
K. Z. Nanjo, H. Tsuruoka, S. Yokoi, Y. Ogata, G. Falcone, N. Hirata, Y. Ishigaki, T. H. Jordan, K. Kasahara, K. Obara, D. Schorlemmer, D. Schorlemmer, K. Shiomi, J. Zhuang
Geophysical Journal International   191 653-658   Nov 2012
Although no deterministic and reliable earthquake precursor is known to date, we are steadily gaining insight into probabilistic forecasting that draws on space-time characteristics of earthquake clustering. Clustering-based models aiming to forec...
Rodolfo Console, Koshun Yamaoka, Jiancang Zhuang
International Journal of Geophysics   2012    Sep 2012
Basic models of seismicity: temporal models
Zhuang, J., Harte, D., Werner, M.J., Hainzl, S. and Zhou, S.
Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis      Aug 2012   [Refereed]
Long-term earthquakeforecasts based on the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model for short-term clustering
Jiancang ZHUANG
Research in Geophysics   22(1)    Jul 2012   [Refereed]
Yajun Peng, Shiyong Zhou, Jiancang Zhuang, Jia Shi
Geophysical Journal International   189(3) 1734-1740   Jun 2012
Large earthquakes could perturb the stress field in regions even thousands of kilometers away, leading to abrupt changes in background seismicity. We have developed a probability-based approach, based on the epidemic-type aftershock sequence model...
Evaluation of the prediction performance of the Annual Cosultation Meeting on Earthquake Tendency by using the gambling score
Jiancang ZHUANG, Changsheng JIANG
Chinese Journal of Geophysics   55 1695-1709   May 2012   [Refereed]
Tom Parsons, Yosihiko Ogata, Jiancang Zhuang, Eric L. Geist
Geophysical Journal International   188(3) 1425-1440   Mar 2012
Controversy and uncertainty about the physics of earthquake triggering mean that stress interactions are rarely incorporated into formal probabilistic forecasts. Statistical methods capture and predict complex features in short-term aftershock for...
Jiancang Zhuang, Changsheng Jiang
Tectonophysics   524-525 155-164   Feb 2012
The Annual Consultation Meeting on Earthquake Tendency in China is held by the China Earthquake Administration (CEA) in order to provide one-year earthquake predictions over most China. In these predictions, regions of concern are denoted together...
Seismicity declustering
van Stiphout T., Jiancang ZHUANG and Marsan D.
Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis      2012   [Refereed]
J. Douglas Zechar, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrew J. Michael, Mark Naylor, Sandy Steacy, Stefan Wiemer, Jiancang Zhuang
Seismological Research Letters   82 686-690   Sep 2011
Lang ping Zhang, Jiancang Zhuang
Tectonophysics   509(3-4) 191-197   Aug 2011
Temporal clustering and spatial concentration of aftershock sequences can be observed after the occurrence of most major earthquakes. Earthquake clustering effects, such as the rapid decay of aftershocks and second-stage aftershocks, cause large f...
Basic models of seismicity: spatiotemporal models
Jiancang ZHUANG, Werner, M.J., Hainzl S., Harte D., and Zhou, S.
Community Online Resource for Statistical Seismicity Analysis      Jul 2011
Warner Marzocchi, Jiancang Zhuang
Geophysical Research Letters   38(9) L09310,1-6   May 2011
The most used and accepted models for daily forecasts are based on short-term space and time earthquake clustering for occurrence rates and on the Gutenberg-Richter law for the frequency-magnitude. These models have been demonstrated to produce re...
Jiancang Zhuang
Earth, Planets and Space   63(3) 207-216   Apr 2011
This paper gives the technical solutions of implementing the space-time epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model for short-term (1-day) earthquake forecasts for the all-Japan region in the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictabi...
Qi Wang, David D. Jackson, Jiancang Zhuang
Geophysical Research Letters   37(21) L21307   Nov 2010
Many clustering models imply two kinds of earthquakes: spontaneous ones and those triggered by previous earthquakes. The pair-wise links from earlier to later earthquakes control the estimates of the clustering parameters. However, earthquake cata...
J. Douglas Zechar, Jiancang Zhuang
Geophysical Journal International   182(3) 1319-1326   Sep 2010
In 2003, the Reverse Tracing of Precursors (RTP) algorithm attracted the attention of seismologists and international news agencies when researchers claimed two successful predictions of large earthquakes. These researchers had begun applying RTP ...
Jiancang Zhuang
Geophysical Journal International   181(1) 382-390   Apr 2010
This paper presents a new method, namely the gambling score, for scoring the performance earthquake forecasts or predictions. Unlike most other scoring procedures that require a regular scheme of forecast and treat each earthquake equally, regardl...
Chang Sheng Jiang, Jian Cang Zhuang
Chinese Journal of Geophysics (Acta Geophysica Sinica)   53 305-317   Feb 2010
Based on the time-space epidemic-type aftershock sequence ( ETAS ) model and stochastic declustering method, a retrospective study was conducted to investigate whether longterm seismicity anomalies existed before the May 12, 2008, Wenchuan Ms8. 0 ...
Qi Wang, David D. Jackson, Jiancang Zhuang
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth   115(B8) B08310   Jan 2010
Aftershocks and some main shocks are triggered, with timing controlled by preceding events. The remaining spontaneous earthquakes presumably respond to tectonic stresses. We consider whether triggered events can be reliably identified, whether the...
Zhuang, Jiancang
Proceeding of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics (In Japanese with English abstract)   57(1) 179-193   Nov 2009   [Refereed]
This paper presents a preliminary analysis of observations on ultra-low frequency ground electric signals from stations operated by the China Seismological Bureau over the last 20 years. A brief description of the instrumentation, operating proced...
Lang Ping Zhang, Xiang Chu Yin, Jian Cang Zhuang, Xiao Tao Zhang, Shuai Yuan, Nai Gang Liang
Earthquake   29 60-67   Jan 2009
On 12 May 2008, Wenchuan earthquake with magnitude Ms8. 0 occurred in Sichuan, China. Because of the different focal mechanisms, we divide the distribution region of Wenchuan aftershocks into two parts, namely the southwest part and the northeast ...
Jiancang Zhuang, Annemarie Christophersen, Martha K. Savage, David Vere-Jones, Yosihiko Ogata, David D. Jackson
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth   113(B11) B11302-B113-2-9   Nov 2008
In this study we investigate the foreshock probabilities calculated from earthquake catalogs from Japan, southern California, and New Zealand. Unlike conventional studies on foreshocks, we use a probability-based declustering method to separate ea...
David Vere-Jones, Jiancang Zhuang
Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics   78(4,Pt.2) 047102.1-047102.3   Oct 2008
This Brief Report corrects and extends the results of Zhuang and Ogata [Phys. Rev. E 73, 046134 (2006)] on the asymptotic behavior of the largest event in the epidemic-type aftershock-sequence model for earthquake occurrence. We show that, in the ...
Xiang Chu Yin, Lang Ping Zhang, Hui Hui Zhang, Can Yin, Yucang Wang, Yongxian Zhang, Keyin Peng, Haitao Wang, Zhiping Song, Huaizhong Yu, Jiancang Zhuang
Pure and Applied Geophysics   163(11/12) 2317-2341   Dec 2006
Seismogenic process is a nonlinear and irreversible one, so that the response to loading of a seismogenic zone is different from the unloading one. This difference reflects quantitatively the process of an earthquake preparation. A physics-based n...
Jiancang Zhuang
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B: Statistical Methodology   68 635-653   Sep 2006
The paper gives first-order residual analysis for spatiotemporal point processes that is similar to the residual analysis that has been developed by Baddeley and co-workers for spatial point processes and also proposes principles for second-order ...
Jiancang Zhuang, Yosihiko Ogata
Physical Review E - Statistical, Nonlinear, and Soft Matter Physics   73(4) 046134.1-046134.12   Apr 2006
The space-time epidemic-type aftershock sequence model is a stochastic branching process in which earthquake activity is classified into background and clustering components and each earthquake triggers other earthquakes independently according to...
Yosihiko Ogata, Jiancang Zhuang
Tectonophysics   413(1-2) 13-23   Feb 2006
For sensitive detection of anomalous seismicity such as quiescence and activation in a given region, we need a suitable statistical reference model that represents a normal seismic activity in the region. The regional occurrence rate of the earthq...
Discussion on "Residual analysis for spatial point processes" by Baddeley A., Turner R., M{\o}ller J. and Hazelton M.
Jiancang ZHUANG
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B   67(5) 656-657   Nov 2005   [Refereed]
ZHUANG JIANCANG, CHANG CHUNG-PAI, OGATA YOSHIHIKO, CHEN YUH-ING
J Geophys Res   110(B5) B05S18.1-B05S18.12-12   May 2005
This paper investigates the shallow seismicity occurring in the Taiwan region during the 20th century using a stochastic declustering method that has been developed on the basis of the theory of the epidemic-type aftershock sequence model. It prov...
ZHUANG JIANCANG, VERE-JONES DAVID, GUAN HUAPING, OGATA YOSIHIKO, MA LI
Pure Appl Geophys   162(6/7) 1367-1396   May 2005
Diagnostic analysis of space-time branching processes for earthquakes
Jiancang ZHUANG, Ogata Y., Vere-Jones D.
Spatial Point Process Modelling and Ist Applications   275-290   2005   [Refereed]
Jiancang Zhuang, Yosihiko Ogata, David Vere-Jones
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth   109    May 2004
On the basis of the epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model and the thinning procedure, this paper gives the method about how to classify the earthquakes in a given catalogue into different clusters stochastically. The key points of this me...
J. Zhuang, Y. Ogata, D. Vere-Jones
Journal of the American Statistical Association   97 369-380   Aug 2002
This article is concerned with objective estimation of the spatial intensity function of the background earthquake occurrences from an earthquake catalog that includes numerous clustered events in space and time, and also with an algorithm for pro...
Relative quiescence within the Jiashi swarm in China: an application of the ETAS point process model
Ma L., Jiancang ZHUANG
Journal of Applied Probability   38(A) 213-221   2001   [Refereed]
Jie Liu, Jian Cang Zhuang, Vere Jones David, Yao Lin Shi, Li Ma
Acta Seismologica Sinica English Edition   13 38-49   Dec 2000
Based on the calculation method of information gain in the stochastic process presented by Vere-Jones, the relation between information gain and probability gain is studied, which is very common in earthquake prediction, and the yearly probability...
J. Zhuang
New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics   43 447-460   Jan 2000
The earthquake sequence for this study occurred off Cape Palliser at the southeastern tip of the North Island of New Zealand. Two main events occurred, on 1990 Oct 5 and 1990 Oct 6, both with local magnitude M(L)5.3. They were accompanied by a lar...
Random distribution of the loading and unloading response ratio under the assumptions of Poisson models
Jiancang ZHUANG, Yin X.
Earthquake Research in China   14(2)    2000   [Refereed]
Main Shock and After Shock -- From the Omori law to the epidemic aftershock model
Jiancang ZHUANG, Ma L.
Recent Development in World Seismology (In Chinese with English abstract)   (5) 12-18   2000   [Refereed]
Analysis on the Effect of Sample conditions on the Results of Load/Unload Response Ratio
Wang H., Peng K., ZHUANG J., Zhang X., Yin X.
Earthquake (In Chinese with English abstract).   19(3) 223-229   1999   [Refereed]
Yao Lin Shi, Jie Liu, Vere Jones David, Jian Cang Zhuang, Li Ma
Acta Seismologica Sinica English Edition   11 421-430   Dec 1998
Based on a cellular automata model, which obeys rules produced by a spring-damper-slider model of fault network, a synthetic earthquake catalog of deterministic chaos can be produced. It is a challenge to inverse the model parameters and predict t...
Jie Liu, David Vere-Jones, Li Ma, Yao Lin Shi, Jian Cang Zhuang
Acta Seismologica Sinica English Edition   11 273-281   Dec 1998
Coupled stress release model is proposed in the paper considering the interaction between different parts based on stress release model by Vere-Jones, and is used to historical earthquake data from North China. The results by this model are compar...
Jian Cang Zhuang, Li Ma
Acta Seismologica Sinica English Edition   11 59-70   Dec 1998
The stress release model is a stochastic point process model developed from the theory of elastic rebound. It can be used to analyse, simulate or predict the seismicity in a certain seismic region. This paper first gives a brief representation of ...
Zhuang, Jiancang 統数研
Spatial Statistics   14 166-178   Nov 2015   [Refereed]
Evaluation Methods of Earthquake Forecasts
Zhuang, Jiancang 統数研, Ogata, Yosihiko 統数研
Proceedings of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics   63 29-44   Jun 2015   [Refereed]
Guo, Yicun Peking Univ. (China) , Zhuang, Jiancang 統数研, Zhou, Shiyong Peking Univ., (China)
Journal of Geophysical Research   120 3309-3323   May 2015   [Refereed]
Huang, Qinghua 北京大学, Gerstenberger, Matthiew GNS Science, Zhuang, Jiancang 統数研
Pure and Applied Geophysics   173 1-3   Jan 2016   [Refereed]
Huang, Yi-Lei Peking Univ., China, Zhou, Shi-Yong Peking Univ., China, Zhuang, Jian-Cang 統数研
Chinese Journal of Geophysics   59 1350-1358   Apr 2016   [Refereed]
Han, Peng ISM, Hattori, Katsumi 千葉大学, Zhuang, Jiancang 統数研, Chen, Chieh-Hung National Central University, Taiwan, Liu, Jann-Yenq National Central University, Taiwan, Yoshida, Shuji 千葉大学
Geophysical Journal International   208 482-490   Nov 2016   [Refereed]
Wang, Ting Otago Univ., New Zealand, Zhuang, Jiancang 統数研, Obara, Kazushige 東大地震研, Tsuraoka, Hiroshi 東大地震研
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C (Applied Statistics)   66 ??-??   Nov 2016   [Refereed]
Zhuang, Jiancang 統数研, Wang, Dun 東大地震研, Matsu'ura, Mitsuhiro 統数研
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics   106 1832-1839   Aug 2016   [Refereed]
Luo, Jiawen 北京大学, Zhuang, Jiancang 統数研
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America.   106 1364-1369   Jun 2016   [Refereed]

Books etc

 
Statistical modeling of earthquake occurrences based on external geophysical observations: with an illustrative application to the ultra-low frequency ground electric signals observed in the Beijing region
Zhuang, Jiancang (ISM), Vere-Jones, David (Victoria Univ. of Wellington, New Zealand), Ogata, Yosihiko (ISM), Ma, Li (Institute of Earthquake Science, China Earthquake Administration), Guan, Huaping (Institute of Earthquake Science, China Earthquake Administration)
Apr 2014   
Stochastic simulation of earthquake catalogues
Zhuang, Jiancang (ISM), Touati, Sarah (Univ. of Edinburgh)
Mar 2015   
Multiple Linear Regression Analyses on the Relationships among Magnitude, Rupture Length, Rupture Width, Rupture Area, and Surface Displacement
Chu, Annie Woodbury University, USA, Zhuang, Jiancang 統数研
Jan 2016   
Multiple Linear Regression Analyses on the Relationships among Magnitude, Rupture Length, Rupture Width, Rupture Area, and Surface Displacement
Chu, Annie Woodbury University, CA
Apr 2016   

Conference Activities & Talks

 
Semi-critical mode of marked Hawkes processes
16 Sep 2014   
Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching crack model and earthquake source process
2014 SCEC (Southern California Earthquake Center) Annual Meeting   7 Sep 2014   
Recent development of the gambling score
10 Jul 2014   
Evaluating earthquake predictions by using the gambling score,
Varenna Workshop on Operational earthquake forecasting and decision making   11 Jun 2014   
Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching crack model and earthquake source process
21 Oct 2014   
Semi-critical mode of marked Hawkes processes
16 Sep 2014   
Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching crack model and earthquake source process
21 Oct 2014   
Similarities between Vere-Jones' branching crack model and earthquake source process
24 Nov 2014   
Determining the actual nodal plane and analyzing the correlation between earthquake sizes and rakes
26 Nov 2014   
Inverting rupture geometry from triggering
25 Nov 2014   
Foreshock probabilities and the Bath law under the ETAS model
2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union   16 Dec 2014   
Short-term earthquake probabilities during the L' Aquila earthquake sequence in central Italy, 2009
2014 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union   16 Dec 2014   
Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via maximum weighted likelihood estimates
24 May 2015   
Statistical Analysis of ULF Seismo-Magnetic Phenomena in Kanto, Japan
26 May 2015   
Assessment of optimal short-term earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic data
24 May 2015   
Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering parameters via maximum weighted likelihood estimates
9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9)   15 Jun 2015   
Hidden Markov Modeling of Sparse Time Series from Non-volcanic Tremor observations
9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9)   15 Jun 2015   
An improved ETAS model for inverting the rupture geometry from seismicity triggerring
9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9)   15 Jun 2015   
Retrospective forecast of ETAS model with daily parameters estimate
9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9)   15 Jun 2015   
On the focal mechanism distributions of background seismicity and triggered seismicity in the Japan region
9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9)   15 Jun 2015   
Optimal short-term earthquake forecasts based on ULF seismo-magnetic data
9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9)   15 Jun 2015   
Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes
Spatial Statistics: Emerging Patterns   12 Jun 2015   
Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes
Spatial Statistics: Emerging Patterns   12 Jun 2015   
A parimutuel gambling perspective to compare probabilistic seismicity forecasts and deterministic eartquake predictions
9th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei9)   17 Jun 2015   
Weighted likelihood estimators for point processes
STM2015 and CSM2015   15 Jul 2015   
Determining the actual nodal planes in earthquake focal mechanisms
23 Jul 2015   
Hypocentral ETAS model
23 Jul 2015   
Features of the earthquake source process simulated by Vere-Jones' branching crack model
9th ACES(APEC Cooperation for Earthquake Simulation) International Workshop   10 Aug 2015   
Detection of spatial varations of earthquake clustering characteristics via weighted likelihood estimators
8 Sep 2015   
Detecting spatial variations of earthquake clustering characteristics via weighted likelihood estimates
26 Oct 2015   
ULF Seismo-electromagnetic Studies in Kanto, Japan: Progress and Challenges
2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU)   16 Dec 2015   
Multiple linear regression models to fit magnitude using rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacemen
2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU)   18 Dec 2015   
An improved space-time ETAS model for inverting the rupture geometry from seismicity triggering
2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU)   18 Dec 2015   
Identifying spatiotemporal migration patterns of non-volcanic tremors using hidden Markov models
2015 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union (AGU)   16 Dec 2015   
Testing Significance of Non-Seismicity Precursors Against Earthquake Clustering Models Instead of Against Complete Randomness
2016 International Workshop on Earthquake Precursors   16 May 2016   
Assessment and optimization of the potential earthquake precursory information in ULF magnetic data registered at Kanto, Japan during 2000 – 2010
25 May 2016   
Optimized physics-based earthquake forecasts for inland Japan
25 May 2016   
Correcting biases in the estimates of earthquake clustering parameters caused by short-term missing of aftershocks
25 May 2016   
Semiparametric estimates of the long-term background trend, periodicity, and clustering effect in crime data
2016 International Workshop on Spatial and Temporal Modeling from Statistical, Machine Learning and Engineering perspectives (STM2016)   22 Jul 2016   
Semiparametric estimates of the long-term background trend, periodicity, and clustering effect in crime data
2016 Joint Statistical Meetings (JSM)   1 Aug 2016   
Statistical investigations of electromagnetic phenomena associated with earthquakes
7 Sep 2016   
Detection and replenishment of missing data in marked point processes
6 Sep 2016   
Data completeness of the Kumamoto sequence in the JMA catalog and its influence to estimation of ETAS parameters
6 Oct 2016   
Automated Determination of Magnitude and Source Extent of Large Earthquakes
5 Oct 2016   
On the extensions of the Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence model
8 Oct 2016   
An interdisciplinary approach for earthquake modelling and forecasting
2016 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union(AGU)   16 Dec 2016   
Nonparametric Modelling of Spatiotemporal Crime Data
2016 The 10th ICSA International Conference on Global Growth of Modern Statistics in the 21st Century   19 Dec 2016   
Semi-parametric estimates of the long-term background trend, periodicity, and clustering effect in crime deta
28 Jan 2017   
On the biased estimate of earthquake clustering parameters caused by short-term aftershock missing
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10)   22 Feb 2017   
The Magnitude of the Extreme Aftershock
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10)   22 Feb 2017   
A 2D hidden Markov model for the recurrence patterns of non-volcanic tremors
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10)   21 Feb 2017   
Aftershock productivity imaging on main shock fault plane by seismicity triggering modelling
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10)   21 Feb 2017   
A Study on Seismicity in the Yunnan Region by Using Multidimental Stress Release Model
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10)   21 Feb 2017   
Preliminary study of earthquake models incorporating seismo-electromagnetic data
10th International Workshop on Statistical Seismology (StatSei10)   21 Feb 2017   
An extensive study of clustering features of seismicity in Italy during 2005 to 2016
Zhuang, Jiancang ISM, Guo, Yicun ERI, the University of Tokyo, Murru, Maura INGV, Italy, Falcone, Giuseppe INGV, Italy, Matteo, Taroni INGV, Italy, Rodolfo, Console INGV, Italy, Elisa, Tinti INGV, Italy
EGU General Assembly 2017   25 Apr 2017   
The network adjustment aimed for the campaigned gravity survey using a Bayesian approach: methodology and model test
EGU General Assembly 2017   26 Apr 2017