BACKGROUND: It remains to be clarified whether liver stiffness is a direct risk factor for heart failure (HF) or whether its association with HF is mediated by vascular damage. We conducted cross-sectional and prospective longitudinal studies to examine whether fibrosis 4 score (FIB-4 score) is directly associated with the serum NT-pro-BNP levels or the association is mediated by arterial stiffness and/or abnormal central hemodynamics. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 3040 health Japanese subjects with serum NT-pro-BNP levels < 125 pg/ml, the FIB-4 score was calculated, and the serum NT-pro-BNP levels, brachial-ankle pulse wave (baPWV) velocity and radial augmentation index (rAI) were measured. These parameters were measured again after a 3-year interval in 2135 subjects. Multivariate linear regression analysis demonstrated a significant cross-sectional association of the FIB-4 scores with the log-transformed the serum NT-pro-BNP levels (beta = 0.08, p < 0.01), but not with the baPWV or rAI. The change of serum NT-pro BNP levels during the study period was significantly higher in subjects with increase of the FIB-4 score during the study period (8.2 ± 22.5 pg/ml) than that in those with decrease/no change (5.4 ± 22.3 pg/ml) (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Liver stiffness may have a significant direct association with the development of HF from the early stage, without the mediation of arterial stiffness and/or abnormal central hemodynamics. Therefore, the FIB-4 score appears to serve as a direct risk factor for HF from the early stage, and its association with HF may not be mediated by vascular damages.